Take the Royals for the road win this afternoon over the Orioles.
Kansas City will start Luke Hochevar and it looks like the 25-year old is having a breakthrough of sorts.
Hochevar is coming off a dominating win over the Rangers on Saturday night. The right-hander allowed two earned runs and five hits and registered 13 strikeouts in seven innings. More impressively, he didn’t walk anyone in the Royals’ 6-3 win. Over his last five starts, Hochevar is 4-0 with a 3.55 ERA.
Baltimore will counter with Brad Bergesen and the rookie has pitched well this year but hasn’t received much run support. The right-hander is just 1-3 in his last four starts despite a 3.65 ERA.
I know Kansas City isn’t a very good team, but neither is Baltimore and the price should reflect that. There’s no way I would feel confident laying this kind of number with the Orioles, regardless if they are playing at home.
With the way Hochevar has turned the corner this appears like a serious miscalculation by the oddsmaker.