Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins Jul 29, 2009 8:10PM
PICK: over
REASON FOR PICK: The White Sox have seen 10 consecutive games stay below the total. I won't be surprised if that streak comes to an end this evening.
As we've seen in the past, Liriano is a very capable pitcher. However, he's been inconsistent this season, to say the least. In fact, he's just 4-10 with a 5.56 ERA and 1.5 WHIP. He hasn't really been getting better, either. Over his last three starts, he's got a 0-2 record (Twins are 0-3) with a 5.94 ERA and 1.621 WHIP. Note that Liriano got rocked by the White Sox twice already this season and is 0-3 with a terrible 9.82 ERA and 1.909 WHIP against them.
Contreras goes instead of Colon and he's just 2-5 with a 5.49 ERA on the road. His last three starts vs. the Twins have produced 17, 14 and 15 combined runs. With the total having fallen from 9.5 to nine, I feel the 'over' is worth a look.