Jack Jones

15* on Texas Rangers -145
The Rangers have one of the best home field advantages in the majors this year. They are 32-19 at home, where they score 5.4 runs per game and hit .271 as a team, more than 20 points better and a full run better than they hit on the road. I also like young starter, Tommy Hunter, who is 2-1 in 5 starts for the Rangers with a 2.17 ERA and a 2.17 WHIP. Hunter will be matched by Armando Galarraga tonight, and while Galarraga has pitched well in his last three starts, the Tigers are 0-3 in those starts and just 8-11 in his 19 starts overall this season.
15* on Tigers/Rangers UNDER 9.5


Take the under here with both teams struggling to get runs across the plate. The Rangers have been good at home this year, but have averaged just 4.3 runs per game over the last week. Detroit's offense has been even worse. The Tigers are hitting .246 as a team while averaging only 3.6 runs per game in their last 7 overall. The Under is 60-36 in all Detroit games this year and 60-33 in all Texas games this year. It's safe to say that the books are setting the total too high for both of these teams this season.
15* on White Sox +100


You can't argue with results that John Danks has been getting for the White Sox on the road this year. He is now 5-2 on the season as the visiting starter despite a 4.44 ERA and 1.35 WHIP. Danks has been sharp in his last 3 starts, going 2-0 with a 3.50 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. Glen Perkins, on the other hand, has been a wreck for the Twins. His last 3 starts have been terrible, where Perkins is 1-2 with a 13.94 ERA and 2.61 WHIP. Both starters are lefties, and the Twins are just 15-19 against left-handed starters this year, while the Sox come into tonight's game at 19-10 against southpaws.


20* No Doubt Rout on Philadelphia Phillies -112
Jump on the Phillies at this price as they are one of the hottest teams in all of baseball. They have won 5 of their last 7 and have averaged .292 as a team and are scoring 7.4 runs per game over that stretch. Arizona has been fairly hot themselves, but they are just 9-18 this year against left-handed starters, scoring just 3.7 runs per game and batting .235 as a team. Looking at the season numbers the pitching match up is fairly even with Jamie Moyer having a better record, but worse ERA. The big difference here is that the Phillies have a tremendous offense that is hitting its stride while the D-Backs simply don't hit lefties well.


15* on Indians/Angels OVER 10
I'm taking the over with two struggling starters, two good offenses, and two unreliable bullpens. Offensively, the Indians are posting 5.6 runs per game on the road and 5.9 runs per game against left-handed starters. The Angels are posting 5.6 runs per game at home and 5.5 runs per game against right-handed starters. Indians' starter, Carl Pavano, comes into tonight's game with a 5.48 ERA and 1.39 WHIP, while Angels' starter Joe Saunders has a 4.94 ERA and 1.44 WHIP, including an 8.10 ERA and 2.04 WHIP in his last 3 starts. The Indians have the worst bullpen in the American league with a 5.17 ERA this season, including a 5.93 ERA on the road. The Angels aren't that much better at a 4.81 ERA overall this season and a 4.69 ERA at home. The over is 31-17 in all Cleveland road games and 28-18 in all Angels home games this season. Stick with the over, this one should be a slug-fest.