Speculating Sports 7/24
Speculating Sports Tom (3 Pack)
St. Louis at Philadelphia 7:05pm EST
Selection: UNDER 9 RUNS
Profile: This game features two starting pitchers that are in great current form. Philadelphia's star young lefty J.A. Happ has been outstanding since entering the rotation. He has only allowed eight earned runs in his last six starts, while posting a very good strikeout to walk ratio. What is even more remarkable is that his performances have been getting better and better this season. St. Louis is also only hitting .215 against lefties on the road. In addition, the Cardinals haven't faced Happ yet in his career, so they will be unfamiliar with his stuff. Meanwhile, Joel Piniero has quietly put together several dominating performances recently. He has allowed three earned runs or less in eight out of his last eleven starts. In addition, Piniero has only walked one batter in his last six starts. He has been even better over his last three starts, posting a 1.57 ERA while allowing only 0.70 base runners per inning. He is also a much better pitcher on the road than at home. Look for these red hot starting pitchers to dominate each opposing line-up and go deep into the game.
3 UNIT SELECTION
Atlanta at Milwaukee 8:05pm EST
Selection: UNDER 8.5 RUNS
Profile: Lefty Manny Parra had problems with his control earlier this season, but those problems appear to be well behind him. He has allowed only one earned run in thirteen innings since returning to the rotation, while posting a 13/4 strikeout to walk ratio. The key to containing Milwaukee is limiting the home run, which Javier Vasquez is excellent at. He has only given up four home runs in his last twelve starts, and he dominated Milwaukee earlier in the season. Atlanta's bats have been hitting well lately, but I expect them to cool off in this game since it's the first game of a road series, including facing a revamped Parra. Look for this game to fall under the total.
1.5 UNIT SELECTION
San Francisco at Colorado 9:10pm EST
Selection: SAN FRANCISCO +107
Profile: Savvy bettors have taken notice of Jason Hammel's struggles at home, despite his decent wins and losses record. Hammel is a bettor's dream because he still gets priced for pitching at home, even though he pitches much worse in Coors Field. He has been hit hard at home, even by weak hitting teams such as Pittsburgh, Washington, and San Diego. Today he has to go against opposing starter Matt Cain, who has been lights out this season. Cain has allowed one earned run or less in ten of his last twelve starts. In addition, he shutout Colorado at Coors Field earlier this season, even after getting hit hard by them in San Francisco just a few days previous to that start. Cain also goes deep into games as well, limiting the unpredictability with the bullpen. San Francisco is priced as this small of an underdog for a reason. Look for the Giants to get the win.
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