4 Unit Play. #658. Take the Sacramento Monarchs -6.5 over the Chicago Sky (Tuesday @ 10pm est). If you are looking for another good WNBA play, take a good look at the Dream today who have revenge against the Sun at home. Remembe, the Dream just played this team and lost on the highway and now they look for the revenge win at home (and this game is likely to go over consequently). But, I just can't bring myself to wager against the Sun. As per this game, the Monarchs lost a heartbreaker of 72-74 against the Sky earlier this year. The Monarchs led by 5 at the half on the road at Chicago, only to end up losing by a bucket in the fourth quarter. Something is in the air in Sacramento too as this team went into Minnesota and beat a very good Lynx team 74-68 with strong defense. Yes, they aer 2-8, but I look for the Monarchs to go on a fairly big ATS run here. Chicago comes off a loss to San Antonio, and have lost 6 of 7 ATS covers and I look for them to struggle a bit today on the road as Sac has revenge and of course, a home crowd that will boost them along as well. The Sky are 1-8 ATS against the Western Conference of late while the Monarchs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 against the Eastern Conference.
4 Unit Play. Take Under 9 between the Cleveland Indians @ Chicago Whitesox (Tuesday @ 8:10pm est). These two teams and pitchers have already hooked up this year. Sowers just faced the Whitesox at home on July 1st and lost 2-6 and much like the revenge game we took for Washburn yesterday against the Orioles, it is in that same grain we take Sowers who has revenge against this team who he faced less than a week ago. Sowers gave up 11 hits in 6 innings and lost 2-6. I do not see him being hit that much today as he likely goes 5 to 6 strong innings and gives up 3 runs or so as he looks to keep pace with Mark Buehrle who is typically dynamite at home. Buehrle is 8-2 on the year with a 3.09 era and he faced Cleveland earlier this year as well and lost 0-4 on the road. He gave up 4 runs in 7 innings in that contest and I look to him to get his share of revenge here as well. Hence, I believe this game likely dips under the posted total as the Under is 4-1 in Sower's last 5 road starts and the Under is 9-1 when Buehrle faces a team in the AL Central.
Good luck,
IC
Take the Under between the NY Yankees @ Minnesota Twins (Tuesday @ 8:10pm est). The NY Yankees are 48-34 and yet they are still looking ahead to Boston as they look to take over the division lead prior to the All Star Break. The Yankees have won 8 of 10 games and they come off a 6-7 loss to the Jays at home as they were attempting to sweep them. CC comes off a non-quality start where he was roughed up for 6 runs in less than 6 innings as he lost to Seattle 4-8. Note, that he lost as a -315 favorite. He looks to bounce-back today against the Twins no the road and given that CC is 3-0 over his last 4 road starts and he as well as the Yankees are on a bounce-back, he should have a strong outing today. After struggling early, Baker has put together 6 straight quality starts and is 4-0 over his last 6 starts. He is part of the reason why the Twins are 3 games above .500 as they put together a run to topple the Tigers who are just in front of them. I look for both pitchers to have a strong outing today as the Under 8-1 for the Yankees when the total is set at this range and the Under is 4-0 when Baker starts at home as an Underdog.
Indian Cowboy 7/7
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