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Seattle and Baltimore Under 8.5 –120 for 3 units
In this matchup today I believe we are getting some good line value in this play due to starting pitching and a number I believe is to high for a game in Seattle. The Pitching matchup today is Bergesen (5-2 3.53 ERA) vs. Washburn (4-6 3.36 ERA). Bergensen has faced Seattle two times already this season giving up 2 ER in 15 innings pitched looking very impressive in both starts. He also has had 6 out of 7 quality starts in a row giving up less than 2 ER in those 6 games. Washburn faced Baltimore one time this season giving up 1 run in 7 innings pitched in a 1-0 loss. Washburn at home this season is 3-2 with a 3.00 ERA only averaging 3.7 runs a game this season of support overall. Seattle formula to win this season is based on pitching and defense and at home this year the games in Seattle are only averaging 7.67 runs per game. The Under is 14-5 last 19 games as a favorite and 7-1 overall when Washburn pitches. I see a lot of value in this play today with 5 out of the 6 games these teams have faced each other going 4-1-1 Under the posted total.