Indian Cowboy 7/2/09 MLB
4 Unit Play.* Take the Under 9*Milwaukee Brewers @ Chicago Cubs (Thursday @ 8:05pm est). The Brewers are 42-36 on the year and they have been playing decent ball this year. Seth McClung has stepped in when asked of him and has done a decent job this year as he is 3-1 with a 3.55era.* What I like about McClung here is that the Cubs really have not gotten a look at him and it will take them at least one go around in the lineup to see his stuff again.* Consequently, I expect him to do well and he is likely to only pitched 5 to 6 innings at the most today which plays well to the under. The Cubs roll with Dempster who comes off a non-quality start givingup 5 runs in in 5 innings of work against the Whitesox.* Ryan had 5 straight quality starts prior to this non-quality start and I expect him to pitch well coming off that rough outing to their in-state rivals. A trend that I liked that went along with the play is that McClung is 9-1-1 over his last 11 games to the Under when the total is set at this mark and the Under is 5-1 to the Under when Dempster faces a team with a winning record - as he shows up against the better teams in the league.
4 Unit Play.* Take Over 160 between the Sacramento Monarchs @ Minnesota Lynx (Thursday @ 8pm est). Let's build off yesterday.* Simply because we do not have a play on one game does not mean we do not pay attention to what goes in the league.* There are teams that are similar to each other and gauging one set of performances, leads to opportunities for us to hit the value of lines for another set of performances.* Such is the case as the Monarchs roll into Minnesota.* Remember, when Sacramento faced Phoenix earlier this season and their style of play - they not only beat Phoenix at home by a score of 90-71 (161), but scored 194 points in regulation against the Mercury on the road. Considering that Minnesota and Phoenix are similar types of teams with a run and gun offense (Minnesota averages 85.3 ppg and gives up 82.2ppg), I like the over here as if the games in Phoenix can go over, the line here certainly has some value given that the Lynx put up just as many points. Heck, the Lynx put up 109 points at home against Phoenix.* Also keep in mind that the Monarchs have gone over in their last 2 games on the road and given that the line is just -5.5 for the Lynx at home, it indicates to me that the Monarchs are likely to be an active dog today and the public might take a bath backing the Lynx ATS here. The Over is 7-0 for the Lynx following a straight up win and the Over is 8-2 for the Monarchs in their last 10 games.
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