[InTheHole]

Dominic Fazzini

Free Play

Philadelphia +115 at TORONTO

Blue Jays left-hander Brad Mills made his big league debut on June 18 in Philadelphia and wasn’t very effective, allowing four runs on six hits and four walks in 3 2/3 innings. He threw 94 pitches, including 53 strikes, but was bailed out by his offense and got a no-decision.

Mills makes his second major league start today, and again faces the Phillies, this time in Toronto. He will be opposed by Philadelphia lefty J.A. Happ (4-0, 3.47 ERA), who will be making his seventh start of the year following 12 relief appearances earlier in the season.

Happ is 2-0 with a 4.08 ERA as a starter, and is 2-0 with a 2.20 ERA on the road. He allowed two runs on 10 hits in six innings last Saturday against Baltimore in his last start.

Happ, who has never faced Toronto, has pitched in 27 big league games in his career (11 as a starter) and hasn’t lost since his major league debut in 2007.

The Phillies have had good success against southpaws this season, at 16-11, and I think they will make Mills’ second start against them as miserable as his first. Go with Philadelphia.

2♦ PHILADELPHIA