10 Dime Cubs Run Line - Ted Lilly comes into this one after picking up his 10th quality start in his last outing, against the Twins. The southpaw was imprssive in his domination of Minnesota, as he limited it to just two runs on nine hits over 7-2/3 innings, yet he missed on the win. He'll be extremely hungry to get that victory tonight. Lilly is 4-1 with a 1.48 ERA in six home starts, while he's lasted six innings in each of those games. His strikeour-to-walk ratio is also a dandy, as he's struck out 38 at home while walking five over 42-2/3 innings, including his last start, in which he didn't walk a single batter. Going back to his days in the American League, he is 4-3 with a 4.28 ERA in 11 career games versus the Indians. Whether or not that matters remains to be seen, but tonight, as a Cub, he'll dominate once again.
10 Dime Red Sox Run Line - Ace Josh Beckett's run of seven straight quality starts came to an abrupt end in his last outing, as Philadelphia pounded out 11 hits and seven runs - six of them earned - in six frames. Good news, aside fromt he fact he'll want to avenge that loss, is he's 3-0 with a 3.55 ERA in six Fenway starts this season. Plus, opponents are hitting a slim .245 against him. This is good spot for him, against the Braves, as he's posted a career 2.45 ERA against them. And while he's limiting them to minimal damage, I expect the Red Sox lineup to light up their former teammate, Derek Lowe, who was tagged for seven earned runs and who lasted just 2-1/3 innings against the Orioles in his last start. Play the BoSox tonight.
10 Dime Orioles - This kid Brad Bergesen isn't too shabby. I know I've been riding the Phillies' young bucks when it's their turn to toes the slab, including J.A. Happ, but the Baltimore right-hander comes in after tossing his first career complete game, as he picked up his fourth win of the season by taking care of the Braves with ease. Bergesen tossed 112 pitches, gave up two earned runs on five hits and struck out three. My boy Happ has struggled inhis previous two starts (against the Mets and Red Sox), going 0-0 with a 7.36 ERA. Batters are hitting .302 against him in those two games, and I expect the Orioles to come in swinging tonight.
FREE PICK - Mets
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Oh well I'm fading his bos, bal picks. BOL
