PLAY ON Under the Total, Detroit (Galarraga) vs. Pittsburgh (Duke), Saturday at 7:00 PM EST
Zach Duke has been extremely effective this season, featuring a 3.07 ERA on the season. At home that number drops to 2.66 with a 1.09 WHIP. Duke is coming off one his worst starts of the season but in each of the three other starts where Duke has allowed more than two runs he has bounced back with an eight-plus inning effort. Duke has allowed two or fewer earned runs while pitching more than six innings eight times this season. In over 85 innings this season Duke has allowed just 20 walks and the Pittsburgh bullpen has been very respectable in the past month, including a 3.06 ERA in the past ten games.
Armando Galarraga has not been able to match the success he had last season but he has now made three straight quality starts. Galarraga allowed just six runs in four interleague starts last season. The under is 5-2 in his last seven outings and the Detroit bullpen has been greatly improved this season after being a serious problem the past two years. The under is 19-6 in the last 25 Tigers games as the pitching has been very good and the offensive production has leveled off after a hot opening month of the season.
Over the last ten games the Tigers are batting just .234 overall and on the year Detroit is hitting just .233 against left-handed pitching in road games. Pittsburgh has scored four or fewer runs in 16 of the past 22 games and the offense has been depleted with the loss of Nate McLouth. PNC Park has a reputation as a high scoring field, but that simply has not been the case, averaging just 8.4 runs per game. The under is 15-11 in Pittsburgh home games and on the year the Pirates are allowing an average of only 4.3 runs per game.
ASA's 7* INTERLEAGUE TOTAL OF THE YEAR 6-13
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