Solid Free Play winner on the Reds (+115) over the Cardinals 9-3 Wednesday! Now 6-2 over my L8 Freebies, and you best believe I keep it rolling Thursday...
I can understand why some bettors would be hesitant to back the Giants on the road, with their 7-16 record away, its takes a keen eye to pick the spot where they not only present value, but also will deliver that value. Not seeing much I like in the first game of this doubleheader, but the second game is a much different story, as Matt Cain gets the nod, and that's always been a very good thing for Giants-backers this season.
No doubt, Cain is on fire, going 3-0 with a mind-boggling 0.84 ERA over his last 3 starts! Only one of those starts was on the road, but his win at Seattle was impressive nonetheless, going the distance allowing only 1 run, while striking out 7. That win lowered his already gaudy numbers on the road to 2-0 with a miniscule 1.29 ERA away this season! He's also got solid numbers against this Nationals club, going 3-2 with a 2.76 ERA in 7 career starts - and right now he's pitching as well as he ever has in his career!
You want to talk about a mismatch? Rookie southpaw Ross Detwiler has the great misfortune of having to oppose the red-hot Cain, and he'll have to be perfect just to give his team a chance. True, the Giants have not hit lefties well on the road, but the way Detwiler pitched against the Phillies in his last start, they'll be plenty of chances for San Fran to get on the board. He allowed 5 runs on 10 hits over just 4 innings in that contest, and despite Phillies much more potent offense, the Giants do average a decent 4.2 runs/game against lefties this season (should be more than enough with Cain on the hill).
Bottom line, in years past this would've been a battle between two bottom-feeders, but not so this season. The Giants are 25-25, sitting in second place in the NL West, and with Cain on the hill they are capable of beating anyone the way he's pitching right now. In the end, look for another quality effort from Cain, as he easily outpitches the rook in this one.
Take San Francisco behind Cain over Washington and Detwiler in Game 2 of this MLB match up.