Boston Red Sox @ Detroit Tigers
PICK: Detroit Tigers

The return to action for Dontrelle Willis has not been perfectly smooth but he has pitched well at home, allowing only three runs in 13 innings. Willis still will occasionally walk batters but he has shown a lot of progress and there will be great value on the left-hander as his overall numbers will take some time to level out. He will be backed up by a Detroit bullpen that has done an admirable job this season, holding opposing batters to just a .247 average while only losing five games.

Tim Wakefield owns very strong numbers so far this season thanks to a fantastic run in April when everything was working for him. His recent results have been much less impressive, allowing 26 runs in 33 innings in the month of May for a 7.09 ERA. He has pitched much worse in away games this season with a 1.66 WHIP and a 5.70 ERA for the year. Boston owns a great bullpen but this is a team that has performed worse in every area away from home. Detroit is the third city on a long road trip for the Red Sox and Boston is just 13-16 in road games.

The Tigers are batting .275 in home games and overall on the year Detroit is averaging over 5.1 runs scored per game. Detroit has outscored opponents by 41 runs on the season while posting a 15-8 record at home including going 8-3 in the past eleven contests at Comerica Park. Boston is just 6-8 in the past 14 road games while scoring four runs or fewer in ten of those games. Wakefield owns six wins but he has allowed 18 runs in his past three road starts, failing to get past the fifth inning in any of those outings.