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  1. #1

    Default Consensus Tout Tallies - Saturday 05/30

    Nhl----

    pit 3
    det 2
    o 3
    u 1


    nba----

    cle 9
    orl 29
    o 6
    u 5


    mlb----

    cin 3
    mil 9
    o 1
    u 2

    bos 7
    tor 3
    o 3
    u 1

    lad 3
    chc 7
    o 2
    u 1

    fla 9
    nym 2
    o
    u

    stl 10
    sf 1
    o 1
    u 1

    was
    phi 4
    o
    u 2

    nyy 5
    cle 1
    o
    u 1

    det 16
    bal 6
    o
    u 1

    cws 5
    kc 4
    o 1
    u 1

    atl 3
    ari 1
    o 2
    u 2

    oak
    tex 10
    o
    u 2

    sea 4
    laa 6
    o
    u 2

    min 1
    tb 10
    o 5
    u

    hou 3
    pit 2
    o
    u

    sd 1
    col 2
    o
    u
    Last edited by JsmooveFTW; 05-31-09 at 12:05 AM. Reason: updated

  2. #2

    Default

    Thanks for taking the time to do this. Do you notice that teams with a lot of peeps on them win at a good clip?

  3. #3

    Default

    Pretty much. If you notice, the ones with 'no contest' next to their names really hit at a big percentage

  4. #4

  5. #5

    Default

    you"ll see on the summaries i do on into the day that show the advantages. it"s basically a play that has a really really large consensus but 3 or less on the other side. hence the name

  6. #6

    Default

    *FYI, the summary post is always updated before the tallies.

    *no contest is any large consensus with 3 or less wagers on the opponent


    Solid consensus winners (+2-4 advantage on one side
    ; minimum 3 wagers)


    Rays OVER +3 (L)
    Cubs +4 (W) *RL winner
    Yankees +3
    Angels +3
    Philly +4
    -------
    Red Sox +4 (L) *late add*
    Red Sox OVER +2 (L) *late add*

    Overwhelming consensus winners (5+ advantage on one side
    )


    Brewers +6
    Marlins +7 (W) *RL winner
    Cardinals +8 *no contest
    Tigers +10
    Texas +9 *no contest
    Rays +8 (W) *no contest; *RL winner
    Magic +17



    ***bumped off - Penguins, White Sox***
    Last edited by JsmooveFTW; 05-30-09 at 06:07 PM. Reason: updated

  7. #7

  8. #8

    Default

    for everything as long as it keeps being valuable to me

  9. #9

  10. #10

    Default

    on ncaaf i will probably have to have a cutoff point though. i see what you mean lol

  11. #11

  12. #12

    Default

    I just mean games with 1 or 2 plays won't be posted probably. won't be just selecting games randomly. I will have them down in case more come in but too much work to put the ones with hardly any wagers up

  13. #13

    Default

    Nice work JS. Has this been hitting?

  14. #14

    Default

    most days overall. the top plays are very good though. it's not really a system unless someone would like to play it like that. I've just been getting 1 or 2 plays a day from it

  15. #15

  16. #16

    Default

    I'll take a swing at it. Looks like Marlins won and Rays are doing well. Better than tailing Ferringo. Less plays, less units loss.
    Last edited by peeiempee; 05-30-09 at 05:06 PM.

  17. #17

  18. #18

    Default

    the RL winning percentage of these games that win is insane. If you had bet the RL on the winners in these threads, you would have lost ONE, and that was yesterday when they went 4-1. Since I've been doing these threads all but one winner has hit the run line. Most are not even close. I gave it a while to see but might start betting the RL on my play of the day for a while

  19. #19

    Default

    nice observation
    ya i bet all ml
    this is my first day
    time will tell...

    anywaythanks for taking the time to do this this js !!!

  20. #20

    Default Question please...

    Are you using both all "free" plays and "pay" plays? Or are you doing just pay plays? Or have you noticed if using both is best? Thanks.

  21. #21

    Default

    my plays today were Texas and Detroit, and both hitting the RL. too bad I didn't start betting the RL today. This is weird. Every damn game

  22. #22

    Default

    Shempy, I use both unless they're from guys that can't even win on their service plays. I also do my best to weed out all the dupes even though there may be 1 or 2 that slip through every day. A lot of free plays are too successful to leave out. Some are more successful than the tout's paid plays. It's all a work in progress though. I'm open to any suggestions

  23. #23

    Default

    To clarify, some of the only free plays I like to leave out are Lang and fina, though Lang is showing signs of life with his paid plays. Off to watch boxing. BOL to everyone's night

  24. #24

    Default

    An idea. Some have asked if there is anything they could do to help. One thing I've wanted to do is include somehow some of the top and bottom touts who are on one side. I don't really have time to add that to the format and keep everything updated as often. If some of you want, it would be cool if you could post what cappers are on what, and how strong the pick is, etc. And try to use it in a format good for everyone

  25. #25

    Default Thank you JsmooveFTW

    Enjoy the boxing. I just had to say, very impressive research on your part. I love that you are even thinking of moving out stone colds and weeding out dups, etc. Again, way cool. And thanks for posting the results. And just a word on your runline thoughts. I've been loving the RL's more and more too. It seems a way to go would be playing all RL's on favs and Ml's on the dogs. It seems to work well for a better profit overall. I was looking at this weeks ago and found that about 10 of every 13 winners win by at least two runs. Now that means that the winner could either be a fav. or a dog but, at least it makes a person think that the one run wins aren't as common as you'd think. I haven't looked at it recently so I don't know if those averages hold up over the season but again, just food for thought. I know of the 5 day games today, 4 of the 5 favorites won by at least 2 runs. A very nice payout on the runline! Anyway, thanks again for your work!!

  26. #26

  27. #27

    Default

    *FYI, the summary post is always updated before the tallies.

    *no contest is any large consensus with 3 or less wagers on the opponent


    Solid consensus winners (+2-4 advantage on one side
    ; minimum 3 wagers)


    Cubs +4 (W) *RL winner
    Yankees +4
    Angels +2
    Philly +4
    Penguins OVER +2
    -------
    Red Sox +4 (L) *late add*
    Red Sox OVER +2 (L) *late add*
    Braves +2 *late add*

    Overwhelming consensus winners (5+ advantage on one side
    )
    Rays OVER +5 (L)
    Brewers +6
    Marlins +7 (W) *RL winner
    Cardinals +9 *no contest
    Tigers +9
    Texas +10 *no contest
    Rays +9 (W) *no contest; *RL winner
    Magic +20



    ***bumped off - Penguins, White Sox***
    Last edited by JsmooveFTW; 05-31-09 at 12:06 AM.

  28. #28

    Default

    those are the tallies up till game times. The others were up until 4:30. normally they will be updated well until their game times, but it is the weekend.

  29. #29

    Default

    *FYI, the summary post is always updated before the tallies.

    *no contest is any large consensus with 3 or less wagers on the opponent


    Solid consensus winners (+2-4 advantage on one side
    ; minimum 3 wagers)


    Cubs +4 (W) *RL winner
    Yankees +4 (W) *RL winner
    Angels +2 (L)
    Philly +4 (W) *RL winner
    Penguins OVER +2 (L)
    -------
    Red Sox +4 (L) *late add*
    Red Sox OVER +2 (L) *late add*
    Braves +2 (L) *late add*

    Overwhelming consensus winners (5+ advantage on one side
    )

    Rays OVER +5 (L)
    Brewers +6 (W) *RL winner
    Marlins +7 (W) *RL winner
    Cardinals +9 (W) *no contest; *RL winner
    Tigers +9 (W) *RL winner
    Texas +10 (W) *no contest; *RL winner
    Rays +9 (W) *no contest; *RL winner
    Magic +20 (W)


    *** RL winners: 9-0 ***



    ***bumped off - Penguins, White Sox***
    Last edited by JsmooveFTW; 05-31-09 at 09:26 AM.

  30. #30

  31. #31

    Default

    You the man Jsmoove. This was a nice welcome back gift for me. Not only did I take the RL and ML on all of them except the marlins and rays, I ended up hitting a $10 parlay for $2500. Took Rangers RL, Tigers RL, Cards RL, Yankkes RL, Angels RL (+1.5), Magic -2 and Redwings PL. Also have to thank ITH for his Doc NHL play. So up a little more than 3gs from today. Just 2gs away from my peak performance before jackass ferringo made me take a short break, glad I came back at the right time. Thanks
    Last edited by peeiempee; 05-31-09 at 01:44 AM.

  32. #32

    Default

    Angels were a RL winner, because they were underdog. I know all about it...

  33. #33

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by peeiempee View Post
    You the man Jsmoove. This was a nice welcome back gift for me. Not only did I take the RL and ML on all of them except the marlins and rays, I ended up hitting a $10 parlay for $2500. Took Rangers RL, Tigers RL, Cards RL, Yankkes RL, Angels RL (+1.5), Magic -2 and Redwings PL. Also have to thank ITH for his Doc NHL play. So up a little more than 3gs from today. Just 2gs away from my peak performance before jackass ferringo made me take a short break, glad I came back at the right time. Thanks

  34. #34

  35. #35

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by peeiempee View Post
    You the man Jsmoove. This was a nice welcome back gift for me. Not only did I take the RL and ML on all of them except the marlins and rays, I ended up hitting a $10 parlay for $2500. Took Rangers RL, Tigers RL, Cards RL, Yankkes RL, Angels RL (+1.5), Magic -2 and Redwings PL. Also have to thank ITH for his Doc NHL play. So up a little more than 3gs from today. Just 2gs away from my peak performance before jackass ferringo made me take a short break, glad I came back at the right time. Thanks

    They don't call you pimp for nothing.


    Awesome man. Just awesome.

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