MTi Sports

Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers
Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers

In his last start, David Bush went six and two-thirds and allowed only five hits as a 125 dog in Minnesota. The Brewers are a big money-maker in this spot, going 11-0 as a home favorite with Bush when his is off a road start in which he went six-plus innings and allowed six or fewer hits, as long as he wasnt a 150+ favorite in that road game. Milwaukees average margin of victory in the eleven games has been 4.7 runs and nine of the eleven wins were by multiple runs.

Yesterday, the Brewers played a fine game. They allowed only five hits, Looper went seven ininings and allowed two walks. Milwaukee is not soft after these types of wins. The Brewers are 22-1 as a home favorite after a win in which they allowed six or fewer hits and their starter went more than five innings, walked fewer than five batters and it is not the first game of a series.

The Reds, on the other hand, are 0-9 with Harang on the road when they won his last start, losing by an average of 3.3 rpg. In his two starts in this spot this season, the Reds lost 7-0 and 5-3, with Harang allowing five earned runs in each start.

Finally, the Reds are 0-5 THIS season when they won the last two games their starter started, as long as they are not a 130+ favorite.

This price is very cheap