Got the FREE winner Friday night with the Blue Jays at home over the Red Sox and we'll deliver another comp play tonight as we go with the Brewers and lay the chalk with them at home against the Reds.
The Brewers love playing at home behind starter David Bush (3-1, 3.92 ERA) and we're going to cash in with it tonight. Meanwhile the Reds can't win on the road when Aaron Harang (5-4, 3.36 ERA) takes the hill.
Milwaukee won Friday's series opener 3-2 and snapped the Reds' four-game winning streak. The Brewers are on hot streaks of 13-5 at home, 18-6 against N.L. Central foes, 17-5 against teams with a winning record and 18-6 as a home favorite.
But more importantly, with Bush on the mound, Milwaukee is on rolls of 36-16 at home, 13-3 when he starts as a favorite and 18-4 when he starts a thome against a team with a winning record. They are 6-1 in his last seven starts overall.
On the opposite side, Harang has been brutal on the road and the Reds are just 3-13 in his last 16 on the highway and 1-8 in his last nine on the road against teams with a winning record.
Even though the Brewers' offense has struggled lately, they will get enough runs for Bush tonight to score the victory. Bush dominates on the Miller Park mound and he'll show more of that in this one.
Go ahead and lay the chalk, this one is an easy play on Milwaukee with Bush on the hill.
Maxwell 5-30-09
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