As I release this selection from the Cali-Cartel, I see the line on this game is anywhere from Denver -5 to -5 1/2.
If you have -5 1/2, buy down the 1/2 point to Denver -5 so you get at least a push should the Nuggets only win by five points.
If you have -5, buy down the 1/2 point to Denver -4 1/2 so you get a win should the Nuggets only win by five points.
If this line increases - or you get stuck with Denver at -6 despite shopping around - you would still buy down the 1/2 point to make the Nuggets a 5 1/2 point favorite, guaranteeing a win should they prevail only by six points.
Take it from a former bookmaker and the guy who fathered the offshore sportsbook industry: we're using the power of money - our bulging bankroll - against the bookmaker in these cases.
Why not buy a little extra insurance at a few cents on the dollar to protect your investment? As CEO of a multi-million dollar company I can tell you it's the right move, just like I knew it was the right move when as a bookmaker I saw smart players doing the same thing when the opportunity presented itself.
Steve Budin 5-29-09
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