Chicago, which returns home from a 0-6 road trip, has lost eight straight, and you never know when it will score runs. The Pirates? starter today has a 5.46 ERA the last five times he?s faced the Cubbies.
Fact is, both offenses could erupt for some sick number tonight, and I?m playing this one over.
Let?s start with Pittsburgh?s Ian Snell, who is 1-5 on the year with a 4.88 ERA. He?s 0-4 on the road with a 4.76 ERA, and is 0-3 with a 5.23 ERA in his last six starts since beating Atlanta on April 18. And with the Cubs under the gun to produce some offense, this could be the spot they explode for a ton.
On the other hand, I?m not exactly comfortable in taking a team that is losing the way Chicago is. And with Sean Marshall going, I think we could see some fireworks from Pittsburgh?s side of the plate. Although the southpaw is 1-0 in three starts against the Pirates, he also sports a 5.51 ERA against them. He?s 0-1 with a 4.26 ERA in three home stats, all of which have gone over.
The over is 4-1 the last five times these two have met, so let?s play this one high.
Scott Delaney - FP 5/26
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