[greenie15]

With my free picks.....I like to label them 1of 3 things....1-fade the public,line drop play...2-strange line play...3-sucker bet play.

I get my lines from Pinnacle.

1. Giants -165
2. Nationals -105
3. Rockies -106
4. Padres +113
5. Rangers -125

1-This 1st play is a strange line play...The Giants are -165 with the stud Lincecum on the mound that makes the Mets +157.Public is split on this game.My point is,you have a 1st place team the Mets at +157.For me thats strange.I doubt very much if the Mets cash at that price. The pick is Giants -165.

2-This 2nd play is a sucker bet play....63% on the Phils and they are only -103 against the lowly Nats.You kidding me????The Phils should be at least -130 against this team.This is a excellent price for the Phils against this team.Plus you have 63% on the Phils and the line is not moving.I would be very surprised if the Phils cash here.The pick is the Nats -105.

3-The 3rd play is a fade the public,line drop play....You have 61% on the Pirates....The line went from -121 to -102.....The pick is the Rockies -106

4-The 4th play is a sucker bet play.....The Reds are a big time public play 67%....They are playing well 20-14 winners of 3 in a row and 6 of 7.Aaron Harang 3-3 with a solid 2.93 era.They are playing the horrible Padres 13-21.Losers of 6 in a row.Kevin Correia on the mound 0-2 with a 5.34 era.Now 1st of all this line opened up at -108 and is now -121.In my opinion thats low.Thats a good price for a good baseball team with a pitcher who is throwing well.Playing a terrible team.And the Reds are 13-5 on the road to boot.This line should be at least -140 to -150.Reds are a sucker bet in my opinion.The pick is Padres +113

5-The 5th play is a strange line play...Texas is playing well 20-14.Winners of 4 in a row.So are the Angels playing well,winners of 6 of there last 7.Texas is -125.I think this game should be more like a pick.Or maybe the Angels a slight favorite.Because of Joe Saunder 5-1 with a solid 2.66 era.This guy has been excellent this season.I dont think the Angels get this win at plus money.The pick is Texas -125

[Shempy]

Interesting writeup....made alot of sense and at this time you are look to be having a possible great night...alot of games that could still go either way but good thought process. Keep it up.

[InTheHole]

sharp

[greenie15]

Recap 3-2