mti 4-21-09
Utah at LA Lakers
Play: Over 211.5
In the series opener between these two, the Lakers shot 55.6% from the field and the Jazz shot 39.1%. We look for a high-scoring affair here. Utah is 8-0 OU on the road after a game in which they allowed at least 50% from the field, flying over by an average of 21.2 ppg. Complementing this one nicely is the fact that the Lakers are 11-0 OU as a favorite after a double digit home win in which they allowed less than 40% from the field, going over by an average of 14.9 ppg.Also, the Lakers are 7-0 OU (18.2 ppg) when Andrew Bynum had more turnovers than assists the last two and 5-0 OU (12.0 ppg) after a win in which Derek Fisher took fewer than 10 shots.The Jazz are 5-0 OU (21.3 ppg) THIS season after a loss in which CJ Miles shot worse than 33% from the field and 4-0 OU (+22.1 ppg) on the road when seeking revenge for a loss in which Deron Williams was NOT the Jazz's high scorer. In addition, Utah is 7-0 OU (18.2 ppg) with at least one day of rest after a game in which they had at least 20 offensive rebounds and 6-0 OU (14.3 ppg) as a dog with at most one day of rest after a road loss in which they had an assist to turnover ratio of at least two.These two have gone over seven straight and we don’t see this streak ending tonight. Take the OVER.
MTi’s FORECAST: LA LAKERS 116 Utah 110
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