Scott Spreitzer
Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks
Prediction: Over
The Diamondbacks return to Arizona where the games have been very high scoring this year. In fact, the Overs cashed their tickets two-thirds of the time on the season opening home stand. Jon Garland is pitching for the hosts. He has an ERA of 8.44 this season and an ugly WHIP of 1.88. Note that both of his starts were on this field. Jason Marquis of Colorado had great stats. But he was pitching in cold weather with the wind blowing-in both times he took the mound! This isn?t chilly Wrigley Field or Denver. This is a hitter?s paradise in the desert. I think the market total is lower than it should be because people are placing too much weight on the great start of Marquis. You have to adjust for context. I expect both offenses to score a lot of runs and the Over trend in this park to continue. Each starting pitcher is vulnerable and both bullpens have struggled. Note also that Arizona?s offense is a tea kettle about to go off after a quiet weekend in chilly San Francisco. Get ready for some scoring! The Over in the Colorado/Arizona game is the play