Boston/ Baltimore Over 10: Baltimore's road games have averaged 16.8 rpg and they do come in 3rd in scoring at 6.2 rpg. John Lester has strugggled out the gate with a 9.00 ERA in his 2 starts and should have problems with this strong Baltimore offense. Koji Uehara has a 7.20 ERA in his 2 starts and a 2-0 record in those starts and that would indicate high scoring games (15.5 rpg in his 2 starts). He will be facing a Boston team that is starting to score as they have averaged 7.3 rpg in their last 4 games. This one should be easy.
4 UNIT PLAY
Cleveland/ NY Yanks Over 10.5: AJ Burnett has a 9.00 ERA in his last 4 starts vs the Tribe, while Pavano has been rocked in his first 2 starts (16.71 ERA). The Yanks were blasted last night 22-4 and you can expect the big bats will be out for revenge. Cleveland has scored 37 runs in the first 3 games of this series and should continue to score vs Burnett. Easy over here.
3 UNIT PLAY
Texas/ Kansas City Over 10.5: Do we see a pattern here with the Overs. LOL Texas has a very powerful offense and they have been held to just 3 runs in their last 2 games. The Rangers are still scoring 8.1 rpg at home this year and they should breakout again vs today's starter. Kyle Davies does have a 2.13 ERA to start the year for the Royals, but he has a career 5.52 ERA, including a 5.89 ERA in 4 starts vs the rangers and an 8.03 ERA in 3 starts at Rangers Ballpark. The Royals should be able to grab plenty of runs vs Padilla, who has a 10.00 ERA in his 2 starts this year and he does have a 4.79 ERA in his last 13 starts at Rangers Ballpark and he owns a 4.,79 ERA in 4 career starts vs the Royals. Last night just 2 runs were score, but Ranger home games have still scored 14.5 rpg. I see this one hitting that mark as well.
2 UNIT PLAY
Cincinnati -119 over HOUSTON: Edinson Volquez will out duel the rookie as Cincinnati gets payback for last night's 7-0 loss.
Jeff Scott 4-19-09
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