Jefferson Sports 4-18-09
JEFFERSON-SPORTS FREE PICK
We are now 7-2 on free picks. Our last free pick saw the CAVS/WIZARDS game soar over the total a few weeks ago. The purpose of free picks is to give you a chance to build a bankroll. We have definitely done that. MLB is in full swing. We have played all plays very small here early on until we have a good grasp of the young season. We have hit 60% last 15 plays playing low juice and dogs so we will step up to 1 unit plays probably starting tomorrow or Sun. We made 40 units in MLB last year and 52 units the year before. It is one of the easiest and most stat based games to cap.
People have told me that 40 units is not that much. It is only because other cappers do not use a 1 unit system. It is not pretty. It is not glamourous. It is not a marketing tool. For example, if I said every play was for a 100 dimes then I could say I made 4,000 dimes last year. That sounds like better marketing right? But is it realistic that my clients are going to bet 100,000 a game and make 4 million for the season? Probably not.
Lets keep this realistic, if you have bet 100.00 a game on all the free plays then you have made 480.00 dollars. So now we are not playing with your money anymore. We are playing with the books money. That is what we want, that is real, real profit. Lets see if we can get to 8-2 on free picks: here we go:
NBA EARLY RELEASE
BOSTON-8.5
I feel we will have a very good playoff run. NBA has been solid lately. Playoffs give us the best time for pure handicapping in the NBA. No worries about overlooking teams, no worries about motivation, one tired team vs a well rested team. Everything is equal. The Celtics are in a great spot tomorrow. The Bulls psychologically know that there is no Kevin Garnett. Whether they like it or not that is in their head. The Celtics know that too. They will be twice as motivated tomorrow. Allen and Pierce and crew have heard that they are done. No KG, no success. I think this gives us a huge edge. I really like Powe and Perkins down low. Powe when he is healthy can be a very tough cover. Doc Rivers is a very good in game and defensive coach. Rondo has playoff experience now. A lot of good veterans and great coaching gives us a good 1st game edge. I feel this is the chance for the Celts to roll.
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