[Jermusom]

thanks for sharing...

tough to go against romero tho... and the jays are hot...

[rc1973]

Thanks for tracking bro!!!! appreciate the updates, it is a big help to watch these guys, and way worth it to track when they are streaking!

[chilidog]

You can easily backtrack at therx service plays thread. CPAW posts the Dunkel picks every day, usually on the first page of the thread. You can go back years if you want. In the end, you'll see what many people have already tracked - Dunkel is a 50% system.

[jimmcc01]

thanks for posting. I always just glanced at all their plays, but never took into consideration of just looking at their top play. Real interested to see how it goes for long term. Even if it hovers around 50% is ok, more interested in their streaks, if they don't go on long losing streaks would be great to run a labby with their top plays.

I also like that they have a healthy pick of underdogs instead of just favorites.

Keep posting if you can.

[lawalahmed]

I also tail them for d last 2 weeks...

[PLF]

Nice thread. thanks for posting. I think they have other picks other than just baseball as well, don't they? I see them posted across the street daily like chilli said.

[chilidog]

Nice thread. thanks for posting. I think they have other picks other than just baseball as well, don't they? I see them posted across the street daily like chilli said.

yup, http://dunkelindex.com/

[jimmcc01]

Here's the first part of May picks

5/1/2012 LA Dodgers +105 W
5/2/2012 Cleveland +120 W
5/3/2012 Philadelphia +105 W
5/4/2012 Oakland +175 L
5/5/2012 CWS +115 W
5/6/2012 Toronto +115 L
5/7/2012 Miami +100 W

along with rest of may, record is 11-6-1

haven't seen todays pick yet.

[chilidog]

Here's the first part of May picks

5/1/2012 LA Dodgers +105 W
5/2/2012 Cleveland +120 W
5/3/2012 Philadelphia +105 W
5/4/2012 Oakland +175 L
5/5/2012 CWS +115 W
5/6/2012 Toronto +115 L
5/7/2012 Miami +100 W

along with rest of may, record is 11-6-1

haven't seen todays pick yet.

http://dunkelindex.com/MLB_Baseball_Schedule.asp

The Indians look to bounce back from yesterday's 3-2 loss and build on their 9-3 record in Jeanmar Gomez' last 12 home starts. Cleveland is the pick (-110) according to Dunkel, which has the Indians favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-110).

[jimmcc01]

If you're interested in all thei MLB picks of the day since Day 1 of the 2012 MLB season, I posted it here: Good one play a day capper?. I've been tracking since day 1 of 2012 and flat betting since 4/11/12 and have made a moderate amount of profit. If it indeed is a 50% system long term, I'm hoping that the small chalk and underdogs picks will at least give me break even season or small profit by the end of the year.

I never thought of doing a labby, but that might be a good idea.

thanks. I like what I see so far. only at one point did they have 2 losses in a row. I'm probably going to do a small chase with the top play. Really curious as to how they fared in top picks in other sports.

[jimmcc01]

thanks. I like what I see so far. only at one point did they have 2 losses in a row. I'm probably going to do a small chase with the top play. Really curious as to how they fared in top picks in other sports.

oops, guess I glanced to quickly, do see a few more 2 straight day losses. For the month of Apr, a straight bettor would be up +6.75. If you ran a 3 game chase, one would be up 27.75 units. (I just used the line given, and just a rough calculation, but not to shabby).

[AirTroop]

Would be interesting to see how Dunkel does on the totals...

[EVPlus]

oops, guess I glanced to quickly, do see a few more 2 straight day losses. For the month of Apr, a straight bettor would be up +6.75. If you ran a 3 game chase, one would be up 27.75 units. (I just used the line given, and just a rough calculation, but not to shabby).

I'm working on a spreadsheet right now for last season. I got the info from across the street. The earliest start date I can find is May 19. Right now, I'm starting July. He has had 3 straight losses on several occasions. Of course that doesn't mean 3 is the limit for last season or this season.

[jimmcc01]

Has anyone tracked Dunkel NBA top play? If not, thought I would start working on this past years and see how it fared, as a possibility for next season.

[EVPlus]

Just wrapping up July of last season. Longest losing streak is 4. Longest win streak is 2. The 4 straight losses only happened once in July. I could not find information for July 19 and 22 across the street. Regardless, this does not change the longest losing streak because the days preceding and following the missing dates prove the worst case scenario is 2 straight losses or just one loss (the 22nd).

I'll say again that this does not guarantee he will only go 4 straight losses this season before turning it around.


EDIT: LONGEST WIN STREAK JULY 2011 IS 4 (from 28th to 31st)

This is for mlb.

[EVPlus]

Btw, hope people cashed on Cleveland today. His wnba also hit after taking a loss yesterday. He has alot more 4 straight losses in wnba last season (up until July; working the rest).

[jimmcc01]

Yes, nice win on Cleveland today. Good work guys getting all that data together, much appreciated.

My initial look at NBA is not very good, 8w-10l in May, with a 8 straight loss period. Will work on rest of season as I can.

[EVPlus]

I finished tracking august of 2011 in mlb. It was a good month for Dunkel.

17-14

Longest losing streak: 2

Longest win streak: 7

[Jermusom]

You can fade lang and tail dunkel with this pick today... Smells like a winner...

[EVPlus]

Well...this is where we see what the Dunkel mlb index is made of...If last year is any indication, Dunkel should go no more than 4 straight losses (or less) before a regression back into the winner's column.


September 2011 ml season backtracked.

Longest losing streak: 2
Longest win streak: 3

So far, for 2011, Dunkel mlb's longest losing streak stands at 4 in July.

I could not find April's records so keep that in mind.

Also, past result do NOT guarantee what can happen this season.

BOL. I went in small on Detroit this morning when they were +105.

[jimmcc01]

my bad....

[EVPlus]

They should have taken pusscello out after the 5th. From the 1st inning on, he was giving up a run every other inning.

3 straight losses for Dunkel mlb this season.

[EVPlus]

Based on reading dunkel's write up, they only appear to look at ats. What they do not take into consideration are the intangibles such as a home team NOT wanting to get swept.

4 straight losses for dunkel this mlb season. This matches last season (not counting April/2011 which I couldn't find and possibly Oct).

My guess is that whenever a tout relies solely on ATS and nothing else, you're basically wagering on heads or tails. This doesn't give the bettor any edge in the long term. Dunkel may win the next pick, he may drop the next several.

[AirTroop]

I don't think you could count Dunkel as a tout... touts generally ask for $$$, Dunkel is free.

[EVPlus]

I don't think you could count Dunkel as a tout... touts generally ask for $$$, Dunkel is free.

Fair enough. But I believe they post plays on their website to generate revenue from the advertisers who place their ads on the site. In a round-about way, there is a financial motive (not that I'm against capitalism).

The important discovery, IMO, is how Dunkel primarily uses ATS and not much else (at least not that I can see from the brief write ups). People who use this method of capping (amateurs or touts or pros) are basically flipping a coin. And you simply cannot win long term with that strategy.