Jeff Scott

3 UNIT PLAYS

Texas/ Detroit Over 9.5: The Over is 5-1 in Rangers last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game, while the Over is 6-1 in Galarragas last 7 sthe arts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Last year these teams combined for 15 rpg in the 9 games played, while the last 10 games played here have averaged 12.4 rpg. Armando Galarraga had a fine year for the Tigers last year, posting a 3.73 ERA overall, but it was slighty higher at home (4.18) and he will be facing a hot Texas offense that just hit .346 and scored 29 runs in their 3 games with Cleveland. Kris Benson hasn't pitched in the Majors since 2006 and he has a career 4.34 ERA, plus in his lone stint pitching in the AL (Balt, 2006) he has a 4.82 ERA. Kris also has a career 4.88 ERA in his 61 day starts. Detroit's offense has not started that great, but they still have the potential to be one of the best in the league and should be able to get their fair share of runs off of Benson, while the hot Rangers offense will have their way with Galarraga. Look for 12+ runs in this one.

ATLANTA -1.5 (EVEN) over Washington: The Nats are one of the worst teams in the league as they really have very little hitting to go along with horrible pitching. Washington hit just .226 and posted a 9.38 ERA in their 3 games with the Marlins and they were outscored by 4.3 rpg in the series. Now this bad Nats offense must face Derek Lowe, who shut down the powerful Phils in the Braves opener. derek allowed the Phils just no ER's on 2 hits in 8 innings. The Braves have hit .279 and have scored 19 runs in their 1st 3 games and will be taking on a rookie pitcher (Sharion Martis), who had a 5.89 ERA in his 4 starts last year. Atlanta will come into this game mad after blowing a huge lead in their last game vs the Phils and they will take their frustrations out on a Nationals team team that will be lucky to win 65 games this year. Atlanta easily here.



2 UNIT PLAY

KANSAS CITY +164 over NY Yankees: The Yankees are 1-6 in Pettittes last 7 starts vs. American League Central and 1-9 in Pettittes last 10 starts on grass, while the Royals are 11-1 in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400 and 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter. Ok let us review. The Yanks lost 2 out of 3 in Baltimore, where the Orioles are not a contender of anything, while the Royals just took 2 of 3 at the White Sox, a team that is much stronger that the Orioles, yet the Royals are huge home underdogs to the Yankees today. i know a few of us here on the forum are expecting a big turnaround by the Royals, but this line shows that vegas doesn't agree. Well folks Vegas is wrong. This royals team will be heard from all year long. They have one off the better outfields in the league. thier infield is also solid and they have a very strong bullpen. The Pitching matchup does favor the Yanks as Petitte is 12-3 vs the Royals, while Ponson is 6-13 vs the Yanks, but this Royals team is young and hungry and they proved that in their trip to ChiTown. The Yanks also showed they are hurting a bit without A-Rod and they will struggle in this series just like the Baltimore series. KC in an Upset here.



1 UNIT PLAY

NY Mets -117 over FLORIDA: The Mets are 23-6 in Maines last 29 starts vs. National League East, while the Marlins are 1-7 in Sanchezs last 8 starts vs. National League East. John Main is 6-2 with a 2.36 ERA in March/ April over his career, plus he is 3-1 with a 2.75 ERA in 6 starts vs the Fish, including a 2-0 mark with a 3.22 ERA at Dolphin Stadium. The Marlins are 3-0 on the year, but that was vs the Nats and tonight they make a giant step up in competion. Look for Maine to out duel Sanchez, as the Mets take game 1 of this series.