Only 1 play going out today. As you know, we only put out plays that we know we have a serious advantage on. I know we are all enjoying a nice 16-4 run as of late, thanks in part to March Madness, and we go 2-0 again yesterday with with Michigan St and UNC. So we are keeping it rolling with 1 more play tomorrow in the NBA. San Antonio Spurs vs Cleveland Cav's -6.5 We are loving the line on this game, and here is why. The Cav's are 24-13 ATS at home this season as a home favorite. IT gets even better as they are 12-2 ATS off a SU loss and 19-12 ATS off an ATS loss. EVEN BETTER when the Cavs are coming off a SU loss it drills opponents by outscoring them by 12.4 PPG.
San Antonio Spurs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10, and 5-6 as a Road Underdog, San Antonio also is giving up 98ppg in this situation, While when you look on the Cleveland side in their Situation as I explained above (after a SU Loss and Loss ATS on the road) Give up 89ppg on defense. This is giving us a -9 Point line.... Bookmakers opened it up at 6.5, which is why we are loving this extra 2.5 point swing.
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Also as a side note, They dont do many plays on over/under from what I have gotten from them. But I was looking at the PPG and it adds up to 187 total on average for both teams. The line out now is 181 ... Im thinking I might also take a chance on the over in this one as well on my own.
I don't think anyone has a reply because it's such a tough one. I've actually got it over as my figures have it at 190 but, Cleveland can play defense and slow down when they have the lead. They've went over two in a row but they were bigtime behind in both. They should win this game today so...It's just too tough a call.
Great call on Cleveland PayingTheJuice. That over-under was tight all the way...it sounded like you didn't pull the trigger on the over afterall and I'm hoping that was the case. Thanks for the Cav pick.
Nah I held off on the over. Came close to playing it though. Ill take my $330 bet to win $300 and call it a good day lol. Im not pushing it on anything else for the day.
Last edited by payingthejuice; 04-05-09 at 02:57 PM.
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