Robert Ferringo MLB

skyscrapers · 07-27-12 01:15 PM

Jul 27 Fri

OAK (+100) @ BAL [4:05pm PDT]
PHI (-105) @ ATL [4:35pm PDT]
WSH @ MIL o8 (-105) [5:10pm PDT]
KC @ SEA u7.5 (-125) [7:10pm PDT] <-this line not found anywhere @ 12EDT...it's at (-125) before changing to u7

The following is half the color:
CIN @ COL o10 (-115) [5:40pm PDT]
KC (+110) @ SEA [7:10pm PDT]

This play is 'plus' half the color:
CWS @ TEX (-135) [5:05pm PDT]

07-28-12 03:04 AM

Originally Posted by Robert Ferringo

Hey, I know I'm just a lying/cheating/stealing/whoring fraud who really has no talent or skill whatsoever and is only looking to screw people out of their money with my lies, deceit and marketing, but you're welcome:

Take Chicago Bears ‘Over’ 9.0 Wins (-135)
This one is kind of the en vogue futures wager right now. And there is great reason for it. The Bears opened at 8.5 but this line has already been bet up to 9.0 and I wouldn’t be surprised if this one doesn’t get to 9.5 before the start of the season. I say hit this one immediately...and hit it hard!

Last year I cashed my 7-Unit Futures Play on Chicago ‘under’ 8.5 Wins. I won that one, but even I will admit that I was fortunate to cash that. The Bears were 7-3 and playing like one of the best teams in football when Jay Cutler was injured. They sputtered to a 1-5 close and an 8-8 record. His injury wasn’t a fluke though; he was playing behind one of the worst lines in football and shackled with one of the worst coordinators in the NFL over the last decade in Mike Martz. However, Martz is gone, the Bears drafted line help and brought in a new offensive philosophy aimed at protecting Cutler. Chicago also has a huge amount of excitement and buzz because of the additions of Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffery, and they were able to lock up Matt Forte this summer. Marshall has a chance to be the best wideout the Bears have had in a quarter century and will provide a whole new element to their attack. The Bears also still have the core of a sensational defense, and they have been just a tick under the Ravens over the past decade in terms of having the best stop unit in the NFL. So the pieces are in place for the Bears to be among the NFL’s elite.

But the real reason that I like this play is that their schedule sets up perfectly. The NFC North is an excellent division – one of the best in football. But I think it is reasonable to assume the Bears split with Green Bay and Detroit and they should sweep Minnesota, giving them a 4-2 division mark. Well, the North crosses over with two of the weakest divisions in football: the AFC South (the worst in football) and the NFC West (second worst). The Bears play Indianapolis (2-14), St. Louis (2-14) and Jacksonville (5-11) within the first five weeks. Then they get a bye before home games against Detroit and Carolina. After that there is a manageable trip to Tennessee before another stretch of three of four at home (Houston, at San Fran, Minnesota, Seattle). I see the Bears starting 3-2 (at least), then taking AT LEAST two of three from the Detroit-Carolina-Tennessee swing. That would be 5-3 before that key midseason home stretch, and I can see them winning three of four there. That would leave the Bears at 8-4 with a lot of momentum going into December. Their last four games are at Minnesota (win), Green Bay at home, at Arizona and at Detroit. If Chicago has already lost to the Packers and/or Detroit then I think they will even up with a win(s) in the second meeting. And the Bears are certainly better than an Arizona team that could be mailing it in at that point. I think I’m pretty conservative with my expectations here and I am seeing at least 10 wins on this schedule. They should be underdogs in no more than five games and I will call for the Bears to go at least 10-6, to make the playoffs, and to sail this total. With their upgrades, changes and schedule I don’t see any way that they aren’t better than last year’s 8-8 mark.

Here are my projections for Chicago's schedule:

Indianapolis - win
at Green Bay - loss
St. Louis - win
at Dallas - loss
at Jacksonville - win
bye
Detroit - win
Carolina - loss
at Tennessee - win
Houston - win
at San Fran - loss
Minnesota - win
Seattle - win
at Minnesota - win
Green Bay - loss
at Arizona - win
at Detroit - loss
Final Record: 10-6

You'll also notice that even though I said I think Chicago will split with Green Bay and Detroit I didn't project it that way. That's because when I do my futures I try to be a little conservative like that. I do think they can win at Dallas (I think they are better than the Cowboys right now) but, again, road wins are tough to come by so I will err on the side of a loss. Same goes with my call for an "upset" in the Carolina game. I don't necessarily think that the Panthers are better than the Bears or that Chicago will lose that game. But they will lose one game that they shouldn't this year (most teams do; that Jacksonville game or the Arizona game could be land mines) so I designated that Carolina game as an 'L' more to represent the inevitable upset that I don't necessarily see coming.

Again, pretty conservatively I have them at 10-6. But I think there is more upside here than downside. I think Detroit is going to fall on its face this year and I could absolutely see the Bears sweeping that series if they aren't resting their starters in Week 17 (which Lovie actually didn't do two years ago). If Chicago did pull the sweep and if they split with Green Bay that's 12-4. Beyond that the only two games that anyone can really make an argument that Chicago could lose is Houston, but the Texans don't scare me and they are a little overrated, and Seattle, but the Bears own the Seahawks. (Especially in Chicago.)

This is going to be one of my top futures plays. There is no way that this number holds at 9.0 and it will likely be at around 9.5 (-150) by Week 1. I know I ******* hammered it at the open of 8.5. Just wanted to give a little shout on this one before the number jumped up. I would bet it, and bet it big.

Thanks for sharing this with the board Robert.

07-28-12 03:07 AM

Originally Posted by skyscrapers

Jul 27 Fri

OAK (+100) @ BAL [4:05pm PDT]
PHI (-105) @ ATL [4:35pm PDT]
WSH @ MIL o8 (-105) [5:10pm PDT]
KC @ SEA u7.5 (-125) [7:10pm PDT] <-this line not found anywhere @ 12EDT...it's at (-125) before changing to u7

The following is half the color:
CIN @ COL o10 (-115) [5:40pm PDT]
KC (+110) @ SEA [7:10pm PDT]

This play is 'plus' half the color:
CWS @ TEX (-135) [5:05pm PDT]

skyscrapers · 07-28-12 06:29 AM

Jul. 27 Fri: (2-5) -$425
Season: (416-395-24 = 0.513) -$4,107
10+ Plays: (9-20 = 0.310) -$7,321

msg99007 · 07-28-12 06:44 AM

Thanks

skyscrapers · 07-28-12 11:55 AM

Jul 28 Sat

This play is half the color:
STL (-110) @ CHC [10:05am PDT]

Much more later...

skyscrapers · 07-28-12 02:11 PM

BOS @ NYY u9 (+100) [1:05pm PDT]
PIT -1.5 (-115) [4:05pm PDT]
SD @ MIA u8.5 (-110) [4:10pm PDT]
CWS @ TEX -1.5 (-110) [5:05pm PDT]

The following is 'plus' half the color:
BOS @ NYY -1.5 (-105) [1:05pm PDT]
TB @ LAA u7.5 (-125) [6:05pm PDT]

The following is half the color:
OAK (+100) @ BAL [4:05pm PDT]
WSH (-130) @ MIL [4:10pm PDT]
TB @ LAA (-160) [6:05pm PDT]

skyscrapers · 07-29-12 02:17 AM

Jul. 28 Sat: (4-6) -$382.50
Season: (420-401-24 = 0.512) -$4,489.50
10+ Plays: (9-21 = 0.300) -$7,703.50

skyscrapers · 07-29-12 02:03 PM

Lost 3 days in a row down almost a grand...12 plays with some high juice today...GL

Jul 29 Sun

NYM @ ARI u8.5
PIT (-135)
WSH (-150)
TEX (-145)
SD @ MIA u7.5
PIT @ HOU u7.5

The following is half the color:
STL (-145)
MIN (-115)
NYY (-155)
STL @ CHC u8
CWS @ TEX o10
BOS @ NYY u9.5

skyscrapers · 07-30-12 01:05 AM

Jul. 29 Sun: (6-6) -$10...4th losing day
Season: (426-407-24 = 0.511) -$4,499.50
10+ Plays: (9-22 = 0.290) -$7,713.50

skyscrapers · 07-30-12 11:54 AM

Jul 30 Mon

This play is 'plus' half the color:
PIT (-135) @ CHC [5:05pm PDT]

The following is half the color:
MIA @ ATL (-145) [4:05pm PDT]
CWS (-140) @ MIN [5:10pm PDT]
TB (-120) @ OAK [7:05pm PDT]

07-30-12 12:19 PM

Pitt could hit, but it's pretty telling when the line moves the other way and against the public. Seems like it a play on the home dog, or no play in my opinion. Pitt was close to -160 last night.

DISTROYA · 07-30-12 01:50 PM

sky do you fade or follow this guy?

skyscrapers · 07-30-12 03:40 PM

Originally Posted by DISTROYA

sky do you fade or follow this guy?

Neither...I don't play any of it.

a4u2fear · 07-30-12 04:18 PM

Reported

skyscrapers · 07-31-12 09:56 AM

Jul. 30 Mon: (1-3) -$282.50...5th straight losing day...-$1,267
Season: (427-410-24 = 0.510) -$4,782
10+ Plays: (9-22 = 0.290) -$7,713.50

skyscrapers · 07-31-12 11:55 AM

Jul. 31 Tue - Trade Deadline

DET (-130) @ BOS [4:10pm PDT]
PIT (-105) @ CHC [5:05pm PDT] <-bet 'action' not 'listed pitcher'
ARI @ LAD u7.5 (-125) [7:10pm PDT]
ARI @ LAD (-125) [7:10pm PDT]

The following is 'plus' half the color:
BAL @ NYY o9.5 (-110) [4:05pm PDT]
STL (-140) @ COL [5:40pm PDT]
TB @ OAK u7 (-120) [7:05pm PDT]

ex50warrior · 07-31-12 02:10 PM

I like the green "action" play on Pitt even if Dempster doesn't get traded; gotta hop on board and hope they come through.

skyscrapers · 08-01-12 01:06 AM

Eeeked out a small win today...snapping a 5-day losing streak.
The DET/BOS game was suspended after 5.5 innings but is official because his play was on the moneyline.

Jul. 31 Tue: (3-4) +40
Season: (430-414-24 = 0.509) -$4,742
10+ Plays: (9-22 = 0.290) -$7,713.50

skyscrapers · 08-01-12 12:14 PM

Aug 01 Wed

ARI @ LAD (-110) [12:10pm PDT]
DET @ BOS o10.5 (-115) [4:10pm PDT]
STL (-130) @ COL [5:40pm PDT]

This play is 'plus' half the color:
PIT (-120) @ CHC [11:20am PDT]

The following is half the color:
ARI @ LAD u7.5 (-110) [12:10pm PDT] <-u7.5 not available since yesterday early evening. It's now u8.5 (-105) at release time which works in our favor
TB @ OAK u7.5 (-125) [12:35pm PDT]
SD @ CIN -1.5 (+120) [4:10pm PDT]

skyscrapers · 08-02-12 01:06 AM

Aug. 01 Wed: (6-1) +290
Season: (436-415-24 = 0.512) -$4,452
10+ Plays: (9-22 = 0.290) -$7,713.50

skyscrapers · 08-02-12 11:56 AM

Aug. 02 Thu

No Plays

skyscrapers · 08-03-12 12:17 PM

Aug 03 Fri

MIN @ BOS o10 (-110) [4:10pm PDT]
HOU @ ATL -1.5 [4:35pm PDT]
TOR @ OAK (-145) [7:05pm PDT]
CHC @ LAD (-155) [7:10pm PDT]

The following is 'plus' half the color:
SEA @ NYY -1.5 (-125) [4:05pm PDT]
TEX -1.5 (-115) @ KC [5:10pm PDT]
SF (-150) @ COL [5:40pm PDT]

Doubleheader Chase:
MIA @ WSH (-160) [1:05pm PDT - Game 1]
MIA @ WSH (-145) [4:35pm PDT - Game 2]

skyscrapers · 08-04-12 01:11 PM

Easily the best day of the year!!

Aug. 03 Fri: (8-0) +$1,300
Season: (444-415-24 = 0.517) -$3,152
10+ Plays: (9-22 = 0.290) -$7,713.50

skyscrapers · 08-04-12 01:45 PM

Aug. 04 Sat

TEX @ KC o10 (+100) [3:10pm PDT]
ARI (+130) @ PHI [4:05pm PDT]
ARI @ PHI u8 (-120) [4:05pm PDT]
PIT @ CIN u9 (-125) [4:10pm PDT]
HOU @ ATL -1.5 (-105) [4:10pm PDT]
MIL @ STL -1.5 (+105) [4:15pm PDT]
CHC @ LAD u7 (-135) [6:10pm PDT] <-only place that still has this line is The Greek...everywhere else is 6.5

The following are half the color:
TOR @ OAK -1.5 (+125) [1:05pm PDT]
MIA @ WSH u7.5 (-125) [4:05pm PDT
HOU @ ATL u7.5 (-110) [4:10pm PDT]
LAA @ CWS u10 (+100) [4:10pm PDT]
SF (-150) @ COL [5:10pm PDT]
CHC @ LAD -1.5 (-125) [6:10pm PDT]

brainy smurf · 08-04-12 02:24 PM

Originally Posted by skyscrapers

Easily the best day of the year!!

Aug. 03 Fri: (8-0) +$1,300
Season: (444-415-24 = 0.517) -$3,152
10+ Plays: (9-22 = 0.290) -$7,713.50

Ericg320 · 08-04-12 04:59 PM

Originally Posted by skyscrapers

Easily the best day of the year!!

Aug. 03 Fri: (8-0) +$1,300
Season: (444-415-24 = 0.517) -$3,152
10+ Plays: (9-22 = 0.290) -$7,713.50

I would have been 8-0 with him but I took A's -1.5.

He may just get back to even.

skyscrapers · 08-05-12 06:17 AM

Aug 04 Sat: (6-6-1) -$262.50
Season: (450-421-25 = 0.517) -$3,414.50
10+ Plays: (9-23 = 0.281) -$7,976

skyscrapers · 08-05-12 04:03 PM

Aug 05 Sun

BAL @ TB u7 (-120)
NYM @ SD u7.5 (-110)
TOR @ OAK u7 (-105)
PIT (+100) @ CIN

This play is half the color:
HOU @ ATL o7.5 (-115)

skyscrapers · 08-06-12 01:46 PM

Aug 05 Sun: (2-3) +$77.50
Season: (452-424-25 = 0.516) -$3,337
10+ Plays: (9-23 = 0.281) -$7,976

skyscrapers · 08-06-12 01:51 PM

Aug. 06 Mon

MIN (+110) @ CLE [4:05pm PDT]
ATL (-115) @ PHI [4:05pm PDT]
SEA @ BAL u8.5 (-110) [4:05pm PDT]
COL @ LAD -1.5 (+115) [7:10pm PDT]

The following is 'plus' half the color:
WSH -1.5 (-120) @ HOU [5:05pm PDT]
KC @ CWS -1.5 (-110) [5:10pm PDT]

skyscrapers · 08-07-12 09:13 AM

Aug 06 Mon: (4-2) +$80
Season: (456-426-25 = 0.517) -$3,257
10+ Plays: (9-23 = 0.281) -$7,976

skyscrapers · 08-07-12 01:39 PM

Aug 07 Tue

WSH -1.5 (-120) @ HOU [5:05pm PDT]
CIN @ MIL u7.5 (-115) [5:10pm PDT]
LAA (-140) @ OAK [7:05pm PDT]

The following is half the color:
TOR @ TB (-175) [4:10pm PDT]
KC @ CWS -1.5 (-105) [5:10pm PDT]
KC @ CWS u9 (-110) [5:10pm PDT]
SF (+165) @ STL [5:15pm PDT]

The following is 'plus' half the color:
SEA @ BAL o9 (-120) [4:05pm PDT]
COL @ LAD (-170) [7:10pm PDT]

ex50warrior · 08-07-12 03:16 PM

Wow, he's on SF?? At +165 that's the biggest Dog I ever remember seeing him play.

skyscrapers · 08-07-12 05:25 PM

Originally Posted by ex50warrior

Wow, he's on SF?? At +165 that's the biggest Dog I ever remember seeing him play.

Yup that's the biggest dog I've seen him play...it's so not Ferringo.

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