Dallas vs Minnesota 8:05pm
Take Dallas -8 for 5 units
Dallas is fighting to hold onto the 8th and final seed in the Western Conference playoff race and they will not overlook tonight's game, especially after back-to-back losses versus Denver and Cleveland. The Mavericks expect to get Josh Howard back from injury tonight and the Mavs qualify in a solid 48-20 ATS road favorite bounce-back situation. Meanwhile, Minnesota is coming of a rare SU win, but the Timberwolves are still one of the worst teams in the league and stand just 4-19 SU since their best player, Al Jefferson, was lost for the season in early February. Class-D home teams off a SU win are historically a negative play and the Timberwolves fits a negative 48-96 ATS letdown situation based on that premise. Minnesota might also be without Randy Foye who is listed as doubtful and has become the team's most important player since Jefferson was injured.

New Orleans vs Sacramento 10:05pm
Take New Orleans -6 for 5 Units
New Orleans is in the middle of a tight Western Conference playoff race and this should ensure they stay focused tonight against a weak Sacramento squad that stands just 16-56 SU this season. The Kings use to have a strong home court edge, but that is no longer the case as Sacramento is only 11-25 SU at home this season and -9 points below the league average in margin of victory. Sacramento is coming off a rare SU win on Sunday night as they took advantage of a slumping Phoenix squad that was coming off an overtime loss the previous night. Sacramento is likely to return to their losing ways tonight as Class-D home teams off a SU win are historically a negative play and the Kings fits a negative 48-96 ATS letdown situation based on that premise. Sacramento has not won back-to-back games since early November and the Kings are 0-12 SU following their past twelve victories with recent losses by 12, 1, 13, 21, 48, 7, 32, 6, 32, 9, and 21 points. We also get line value tonight as the Hornets were a 9-point road favorite last month when they played in Sacramento and their 112-105 win was misleading as the Hornets never trailed in the entire game and led by as many as 15-points.

-Bob O'Conner
www.SportsBob.com
Excellence in Sports Handicapping