[InTheHole]

Craig Trapp

Gonzaga vs. North Carolina
Play: North Carolina -8.5

The favorite to win it all UNC, will take on the mid major Gonzaga. The Zags are not looking as hot after Memphis got beat by Missouri yesterday. Remember early this year Memphis went to Gonzaga and won going away. Lets take a look at the records and the trends for this match up.

Team Records:
Gonzaga: 28-5 SU, 16-14 ATS
North Carolina: 30-4 SU, 14-19 ATS

Recent Trends:
Bulldogs are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.
Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 NCAA Tournament games.
Tar Heels are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite.
Tar Heels are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games.

Pretty one sided trend plays in recent NCAA tournament history. The Zags are so much like Memphis, over rated. A bunch of wins from a small conference does not impress me, instead quality wins against quality opponents is what really matters. On the other hand UNC seems to be on a mission to get this team to the Final Four and give themselves another chance to win it all. This UNC team will make a statement early in this game and blow out the Zags. Hansborough, Green, Ellington, and Lawson are all most likely gone after this year and they want to go out on top. Don't sweat the big spread it will not be close. SCORE UNC 88 - GONZ 72