IndianCowboy

Play: 4 Unit Play.
#686. San Diego State -3
over St. Mary's (Wednesday @ 9pm est). (POD)

After having a winning January and February in hoops, March has been a letdown as it seems I've hit a rough patch. Heck, we had 8 straight winning weeks in the NBA and 5 in a row in college. I expected to have a down swing, but the last few days have been tough. I'm working as hard as I can to correct this through my research and spreadsheets. I always do and will do so again soon. thanks. For today, let's take the Aztecs at home against the Gaels. If you are looking for another play, you might want to take a look at UTEP on the road today as they have a solid chance of pulling that game on the road as they defeated a better team in Nevada on the road who is a top 100 team while Richmond is a top 125 team. As per this game, San Diego State is a top 30 team. This is the same team that has defeated several tourney type teams including CS Northridge at home by 14, Utah at home by 9 and BYU on neutral footing and was 2 points away from going to the NCAA Tournament as they lost to Utah in the conference championships. This is a very good team. This team has balanced scoring and comes off two solid wins in the NIT including beating Weber State by 16 at home and Kansas State by 18 at home as well. Weber State was a top 125 team and Kansas State was a top 50 team. St. Mary's is also a top 50 team and they highlight Patty Mills who is an incredible talent and it's a shame that more of the country didn't see him get to play in the tourney. These two teams actually met earlier this year and St. Mary's won by 3 points on neutral footing. So, you have an added element of revenge for San Diego State as well. SD State is a very good defensive team and I expect them to run a similar defense to what Gonzaga ran against this team that helped defeat St. Mary's by 25. St. Mary's has had its lapses on true road games this year losing by 18 to Santa Clara and Portland - as well as losing by 13 to UTEP on neutral footing. For these reasons of revenge, SD State playing well at home and having beaten other top 50 teams by margins greater than 3, as well as being 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games while St. Mary's is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games, I like the Aztecs here laying the short number.


Play: 4 Unit Play.
#668. Take the Atlanta Hawks -6.5

over the San Antonio Spurs (Wednesday @ 7pm est)

After having a winning January and February in hoops, March has been a letdown as it seems I've hit a rough patch. Heck, we had 8 straight winning weeks in the NBA and 5 in a row in college. I expected to have a down swing, but the last few days have been tough. I'm working as hard as I can to correct this through my research and spreadsheets. I always do and will do so again soon. I have the best clients anyone can ask for any I truly appreciate your patience. As per today's play, let's roll with the Hawks at home as they are 8-0-1 ATS of late. In fact, they are 7-0 SU and 7-0 ATS during this stretch. They have beat the likes of Dallas by 8, Indiana by 14, Utah by 7, New Orleans by 10, Portland by 18 and Sacramento by 22. Can the Spurs squeak inside this number? Sure. But, note that the Hawks lost to this team by 6 on the road earlier this year and they have revenge in this contest. It might seem obvious to take the once-defending champs as a +6.5 dog here on the road. But the Spurs are not playing that well right now and the Hawks since Marvin went down have been playing with a chip on their shoulder. Duncan is expected to miss tonight's game as Manu is expected to be back. The Hawks have outscored their opponents in the fourth quarter in the last 9 of 10 contests and they have a great shot at winning this game and covering the spread as well given their previous results at home and with the revenge angle. The Hawks are 11-1-1 ATS in their last 13 games while the Spurs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall - the home team is also 9-3-1 ATS in the last 13 meetings.