4 UNIT PLAY
Ohio State/ Siena Over 142
The Over is 5-1 in Buckeyes last 6 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5, while the Over is 4-1 in Saints last 5 non-conference games. Siena's games have averaged 147.7 ppg overall and 154 ppg when playing away from home, plus their last 10 games have averaged 152.2 ppg. The saints rank 28th in scoring at 77.7 ppg and 31st in FG% at 47.7%, while their odefense is 228th in points allowed (70 ppg) and 194th in defensive FG% (43.7%). Now the Buckeyes aren't your offensive juggernaut as they have averaged just 66.7 ppg, but they are an efficient offense as they are 9th in FG% (48.4%). With that kind of shooting I can easily see them getting 70+ in this one. The Buckeys have also hit 37.9% from beyond the Arc (33rd) and 70% from the FT line (136th). The Buckeye defense is tough, but the Saints have been able to score on everyone this year and I see tonight's game as no different. Siana will get the Buckeyes into a running game and I look for a game in the 150's here.
3 UNIT PLAYS
Syracuse -11.5 over Stephen F. Austin
The Orange are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. the Lumberjacks have had a fine season as they went 23-7 overall, including a 7-4 mark vs non-conf opponents, but they did play 3 schools from the BCS conferences (Texas A&M, Texas Tech and Arkansas) and they were 0-3 vs those schools and were outscored by 12.3 ppg in those games. The Orange have been impressive down the stretch, but the OT's in the Big East tourney finally caught up with the in the Big East Final and they eventually lost the Title game to Louisville. Before the 6 OT game the Orange had been playing some of the best ball in the country. Greanted they beat up on some bottom feeders in the Big East, but prior to the UConn game the Orange went 5-0 and those wins included a 25 pt win over St Johns, a 24 pt win over Cincinnati, a 30 pt win over Rutgers and a 15 pt win over Seton Hall. Why do I list those games? Because I feel that those teams could still probably beat the Lumberjacks and If the Cuse can demolish those teams then they should be able to take this one by 15+ with ease. The Cuse are now rested and ready and should have an easy win here.
Pitt/ East Tennessee State Over 147.5
The Over is 8-2 in Buccaneers last 10 neutral site games, while the Over is 6-0-1 in Panthers last 7 games as a favorite of 13.0 or greater. The Buccaneers have been anoffensive machyine of late as thyey have averaged a whopping 89.4 ppg in their last 5 games. Overall ETSU is 18th in the nation in scoring at 78.5 ppg and 51st in FG% at 46.6%. Pitt comes in averaging 78 ppg overall (26th) and they are 12th in FG% hitting 48.2% of their shots. Pitts defense has been good overall as they have allowed just 64 ppg, but gthey may be tiring a bit down the stretch as they have allowed 73.6 ppg in their last 5 games. EYTSU has not been a good defensive team this year, as they have allowed 70.4 ppg overall (231st) and 74.6 ppg in their neutral site games. When Pitt has been a double digit fav this year their games have averaged 149.9 ppg, while ETSU's neutral site games have averaged 154.6 ppg. Both teams will look to push the ball in this one, so i look for a game that will approach the 160's.Dayton/ West Virginia Over 126.5: The Over is 5-1 in Flyers last 6 neutral site games and 19-5 in their last 24 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5, while the Over is 5-1 in Mountaineers last 6 vs. Atlantic 10. The Flyers last 6 games have averaged 144.2 ppg, while their neutral site games have averaged 138.8 ppg on the year. West Virginia's games have averaged 134 ppg on the year, including 133 ppg in their neutral site games and 135.8 ppg in their last 5 games. Both defense have played well this year, but the offenses have stepped it up of late and should be able to put enough on the board to get an easy over here.
2 UNIT PLAY
Missouri -12.5 over Cornell
The Big Red are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5, while the Tigers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Cornel has had a nice year but most of their damage has been done at home this year, where they went 13-0. Once the Big red left their home court this team went just 8-9, including neutral games. Back in Nov & Dec, Cornell played St John's, Siena, Indiana, Syracuse, Minnesota and St Joes all away from home and were 0-6 in those games and were outscored by 12.5 ppg in those games. Missouri is better than all of thos teams so Cornell should have some real struggles today vs a team that has just won the Big 12 Tourney and may just find themselves in the Final Four when all is said and done. Missouri by 15+ here.
1 UNIT PLAY
Oklahoma State/ Tennessee Under 157.5
The Under is 7-2 in Volunteers last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, while the Under is 5-1 in Cowboys last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and 5-1 in their last 6 neutral site games as an underdog. Down the stretch the Cowboys gamnes have been a bit lower scoring than normal as they have averaged 140.1 ppg in their last 7 games. The Vols last 10 games have averaged just 145.6 ppg. Both teams can score but teams have been playing better defense of late and that will keep the score down here.