The Clemson Tigers got off to a tremendous start this season, but they sputtered badly down the stretch in the ACC and we feel they are an extremely vulnerable favorite here vs. the Michigan Wolverines.Clemson went 1-4 both straight up and against the spread in their last five games, and they got knocked out in the first round of the ACC Tournament by a lightly regarded Georgia Tech team. As if that is not bad enough, this team also lost to Virginia a few games before this late skid started. The Tigers are known for their pressure defense, but apparently teams have figured out how to solve them and find the open man. Clemson is allowing a hearty 78.4 points per game over the last five games, horrendously allowing those opponents to shoot 49.5 percent from the field.Michigan finished at 20-13 SU and a nice 15-11-1, 57.7 percent ATS, and before losing in the second round of the Big Ten Tournament to Illinois in a virtual road game, they had gone 6-1 ATS in their previous seven games with the lone ATS loss coming in overtime as an underdog.Remember that this team did beat Duke and UCLA during the early non-conference portion of the schedule, so team has proven itself somewhat vs. quality competition, which helps negate the fact that this was a down year for the Big Ten.Finally, do not forget that Michigan is a sparkling 11-3 ATS in post-season play over the last five years, and we look for the Wolverines to improve on that here with an outright upset.
LT Profits 3-19-09
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