Jeff Scott Sports

4 UNIT PLAY


Memphis -20 over CS Northridge
The Tigers are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games, while the Matadors are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 13.0 or greater. Memphis is a team that will be on a mission in this NCAA Tourney as they felt they should have been a number 1 seed. The Tigers defense is one of the tops in the Nation as they have allowed just 56.9 ppg and 36.2% shooting overall this year and it has been even stingier down the stretch were they have allowed just 44 ppg on an unheard of 29.6% shooting from the floor in their last 4 games. Now that's playing some defense. Oh year they won those 4 games by an average of 21.8 ppg. CS Northridge has had a good offensive year as they have averaged 73.8 ppg overalland 69.6 ppg away from home, but facing Big West defenses is a lot different than facing this one. Speaking of defense, that is not something the Matadors do great. CS Nothridge has allowed 70.2 ppg on the year, including 73.3 ppg when playing away from home. The Matadors have played 7 non-conference foes away from home and they have allowed 78.9 ppg in those games. Bad defense in that spot and now they will take on the 67th ranked scoring offense in the country, as the Tigers have put up 74.1 ppg on the year. I really have a hard time seeing the Matadors putting more than 52 or 53 on the board in this one, while I do see Memphis hitting 75+. The Tigers will be playing with a chip on their shoulders and that cannot be good news for the Matadors today.


3 UNIT PLAY
NOTRE DAME -4.5 over New Mexico

The Lobos are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win., while the Fighting Irish are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5. We all know how the Lobo's play in The Pit, but this isn't the Pit and they have struggled when taking to the road this year. The Lobos have gone just 6-6 in their true road games, plus another 0-3 in their neutral site games. The Irish stumbled ast home during the middle of the year after haveing a long winning streak at home, but this team is still very tough at home, where they are 13-3 and have outscored their opponents by 12.5 ppg. Defense has not been a strong suit for the Irish this year, but they do allow just 63.1 ppg on 39.9% shooting at home and they have allowed just 64 ppg on 36.8% shooting in their last 5 overall. The Irish have had somne problems scoring of late, but this team still has put up 76.5 ppg on thier home floor this year, including 86 ppg in their non-conf home games. New Mexico can score but their defense has been less than stellar of late as they have allowed 73.8 ppg in their last 5 games. With the way the irish play defense and score at home they should have no problems covering the spread vs a Lobos team that is like a fish out of water when they leave The Pit. Notre Dame by 8+ here.


2 UNIT PLAY
Texas A&M +2.5 over BYU

The Aggies are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games as an underdog, while the Cougars are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss. The AgGies had a stron g finish to their season as they had won their last 6 regular season games before losing to Texas Tech in the Big 12 tourney. Down the stretch they had a win at Nebraska, a 15 point home win over Texas and a 10 point home win vs a very strong Missouri squad. BYU has had a nice year themselves as they were 25-7 overall, but their offense has struggled down the stretch as thyey have averaged 67.4 ppg in their last 5 games, which is 10 points lower than their season average. The Aggies offense has taken off of late as they have averaged 79 ppg in their last 5 games. Both teams have played well defensively this year, but I believe the Aggies offense will do more damage than BYU's in this one and get a solid upset win here.


1 UNIT PLAYS
UConn/ Chattanooga Under 145

The Under is 4-0 in Mocs last 4 neutral site games as an underdog, while the Under is 5-1 in Huskies last 6 games as a favorite of 13.0 or greater. Ok, Let's throw out that 6 OT game vs the Cuse for a moment. If we dso that then we will see that the previous 12 UConn games have averaged just 131.8 ppg, with only 2 of those games scoring more than today's total. UConn games have averaged 141 ppg bon the year, while their games away from home have averaged just 131 ppg. UConn plays great defense and should be able to hold a strong Mocs offense doiwn, while their own offense does enough to get the win here. I just don't see more than 140 in this one.


Maryland +1.5 over California

The Terrapins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss, while the Golden Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games. The Bears are just not playing well defensively right now as they have allowed 77.8 ppg in their last 5 games. look for the terps to take advantage and move on in the Big Dance.