775-76 New Mexico State vs. Boise State 12PM ET
Play: New Mexico State -1

As usual, we're hearing virtually every network analyst talk about how tough it is for one team to beat another three times in the same season. This is a complete myth that has zero basis in fact. The team that wins the first two meetings has a distinct advantage for the third game, and the results are definitive. The winner of the first two games usually wins again. As this is written, the team with the double revenge motive is 10-28 this season straight up, so it's business as usual, and as usual, those "experts" on the networks have gotten it wrong again. That brings me to today's New Mexico State-Boise State WAC contest, in which the Aggies are looking to beat the Broncos after dropping both regular season meetings. And here's where the double revenge has a little meaning. If the teams are really closely matched in terms of talent, then I'll agree it's tough for one team to beat the other three times in one campaign. By no means should you automatically gravitate to the team with the apparent motive, as if the numbers don't jibe, it's hardly enough of an edge on its own. But with the Aggies and Broncos a virtual wash on the numbers, I think it could be a little bit of an edge here. This is not nearly strong enough to qualify as a service release for me, but I'll lean to New Mexico State to break through today.