Date/Time: Wednesday March 11 / 7PM EST (Big 12 Conference)
Game: Iowa State Cyclones @ Oklahoma State Cowboys
Graded Selection: 2* Oklahoma State Cowboys -10
Analysis:
The Big 12 Conference Tournament begins tonight at the Ford Center in Oklahoma City with a First Round contest between the Iowa State Cyclones and the Oklahoma State Cowboys. Iowa State is playing out the season with a 15-16 SU record the only advantage for them is the Big 12 Tournament allows all its teams to participate otherwise they would be watching from home. The Cyclones are 9-16 ATS overall on the season and they have struggled against winning teams posting a record of 1-9 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season. Iowa State is 4-12 SU and 4-11 ATS when facing conference opponents this season averaging 62.3 points per game and allowing 69.9 points per game. They are coming in off a SU win over Texas Tech in their last game 78 to 76 as a 4-point home favorite and that win snapped a two-game losing skid. Their opponent tonight is fighting for a bid to the Big Dance; most believe they need a win here tonight to assure themselves of an invitation. This Cowboys team has caught fire at the right time winning six of their last seven SU (including seven straight ATS wins) their only loss coming in their last game at Norman where the Sooners defeated them 82 to 78 as a nine-point home favorite. If the Cowboys can get past this Cyclones team tonight they will have a rematch with instate rival Oklahoma in the next round so this game is of the utmost importance to their NCAA Tournament aspirations. Our numbers suggest the Cowboys advance and get the ATS win in tonight’s contest. We also see that Iowa State is 0-12 ATS in road games after one or more consecutive ‘over’s’ the last 2 seasons and 0-7 ATS revenging a road loss of 10 points or more this season. Lay the chalk with the Cowboys as they roll past an Iowa State team that is overmatched and not interested, just wanting to get this season over with and Oklahoma State will oblige.

Graded Selection: 2* Oklahoma State 78 Iowa State 55