View New Posts
123
  1. #1
    Reload's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-23-08
    Posts: 10,792
    SBR Points: 61603
    Message Me

    Default Pinnacle seems to be begging people to take the Browns

    Pinnacle offering +1 +116 for the spread and +128 on the money line.

    I am going to go with the Chiefs

    CHARITY DONOR
    11/25/2011 $25 donation


  2. #2

  3. #3
    Reload's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-23-08
    Posts: 10,792
    SBR Points: 61603
    Message Me

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by MonkeyF0cker View Post
    Uhh. They're shading against Wong teasers, genius.
    They can do that by keeping the spread at +1 but they don't need +odds this high. And they sure don't need a +126 money line in that case either.

    Check out +1 +116 (Pinnacle) vs +2 -110 (available at several books). That one point is sure not worth 26 cents. And the half point more to the money line of +128 is not even close to 12 cents either.

    Watch the Pinnacle opinion and learn.

    CHARITY DONOR
    11/25/2011 $25 donation


  4. #4

    Default

    You're a fukkin moron, Reload. It's the equivalent of 2.5. They don't move until 3. Get a fukkin clue.

  5. #5
    Reload's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-23-08
    Posts: 10,792
    SBR Points: 61603
    Message Me

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by MonkeyF0cker View Post
    You're a fukkin moron, Reload. It's the equivalent of 2.5. They don't move until 3. Get a fukkin clue.
    There's +2 -110 available at several books so we're talking one point being worth 26 cents difference. They are basically letting a Browns backer sell a point for 26 cents and at the high maximums of Pinnacle.

    Even +2.5 is not worth a 26 cent difference from -110. Half point from +1.5 to +2 or +2 to +2.5 in the NFL is worth less than 5 cents.

    CHARITY DONOR
    11/25/2011 $25 donation


  6. #6
    Reload's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-23-08
    Posts: 10,792
    SBR Points: 61603
    Message Me

    Default

    Another way to look at it is this. The Greek is playing the Wong teaser protection game also. Their line is +1 +100 on the Browns right now. So that means Pinnacle is offering 16 cents better than The Greek.

    I see a couple of other lines where there is an 11 cent difference between Pinnacle and Greek. But this 16 cent difference with the Browns is the biggest for the week and means they want serious Cleveland money.

    CHARITY DONOR
    11/25/2011 $25 donation


  7. #7

    Default

    Jesus fukkin Christ. First off, where the fuk do you get 26 cents? You're comparing a 10 cent line to a 20 cent line. You obviously don't know what a no-vig line is or how to calculate it. LOL. Second, no high volume, efficient book is hanging 2. Third, put the numbers into the half point calculator once, moron.

    http://www.sbrforum.com/Betting+Tool...alculator.aspx

    Unfukkin real.

  8. #8

    Default

    LOL

    Monkey does this guy even know what a Wong Teaser is?

    How the fuk is this guy employed by SBR? This is pathetic

  9. #9
    Reload's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-23-08
    Posts: 10,792
    SBR Points: 61603
    Message Me

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by MonkeyF0cker View Post
    Jesus fukkin Christ. First off, where the fuk do you get 26 cents? You're comparing a 10 cent line to a 20 cent line. LOL. Second, no high volume, efficient book is hanging 2. Third, put the numbers into the half point calculator once, moron.

    http://www.sbrforum.com/Betting+Tool...alculator.aspx

    Unfukkin real.
    The half point calculator showed that the difference between 1 and 2.5 is about 15 cents. They are putting that difference in for the favored Chiefs making them -1 -126 compared to -2.5 -110. So basically, they offer the same price on the Chiefs as you can get anywhere else. But the price on the Browns is way more generous than elsewhere - essentially the entire reduced vig is being offered on the Browns side and none on the Chiefs side.

    Get what I mean, F0cker?

    CHARITY DONOR
    11/25/2011 $25 donation


  10. #10
    Reload's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-23-08
    Posts: 10,792
    SBR Points: 61603
    Message Me

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by onthewhat View Post
    LOL

    Monkey does this guy even know what a Wong Teaser is?

    How the fuk is this guy employed by SBR? This is pathetic
    Sure do, onthewhat. Same guys always trying to pile on as usual.

    My whole point has not been about the +1 - if they want to protect against teasers that's fine and we've only seen it a million times. It's the odds along with it that are showing a big lean.

    CHARITY DONOR
    11/25/2011 $25 donation


  11. #11
    durito's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-03-06
    Posts: 13,083
    SBR Points: 1078
    Message Me

    Default

    Is this the first time you've looked at pinnacles NFL lines?

  12. #12
    Reload's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-23-08
    Posts: 10,792
    SBR Points: 61603
    Message Me

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by durito View Post
    Is this the first time you've looked at pinnacles NFL lines?
    Nope - have spent years looking at them and know an opinion when I see one.

    CHARITY DONOR
    11/25/2011 $25 donation


  13. #13

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by onthewhat View Post
    LOL

    Monkey does this guy even know what a Wong Teaser is?

    How the fuk is this guy employed by SBR? This is pathetic
    No idea. He's absolutely worthless.

  14. #14

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Reload View Post
    The half point calculator showed that the difference between 1 and 2.5 is about 15 cents. They are putting that difference in for the favored Chiefs making them -1 -126 compared to -2.5 -110. So basically, they offer the same price on the Chiefs as you can get anywhere else. But the price on the Browns is way more generous than elsewhere - essentially the entire reduced vig is being offered on the Browns side and none on the Chiefs side.

    Get what I mean, F0cker?
    What you mean is that you have no fukkin clue what you're doing. 1 -126/+116 is the equivalent of 2.5 +/-105.3, genius. Now please explain exactly how you'd get value betting 2.5 -110?

  15. #15
    Reload's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-23-08
    Posts: 10,792
    SBR Points: 61603
    Message Me

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by MonkeyF0cker View Post
    What you mean is that you have no fukkin clue what you're doing. 1 -126/+116 is the equivalent of 2.5 +/-105.3, genius. Now please explain exactly how you'd get value betting 2.5 -110?
    The overlay Pinnacle is offering is with +1 +116 and that's what I've been saying all along. Anyone betting big on the Browns (and isn't in the US of course) should clearly take that vs the +2.5 -110 or -105. And it's why Pinnacle wants action on it.

    If a shop offered +2.5 at +100, then I could see that worth considering vs the +1 +116.

    CHARITY DONOR
    11/25/2011 $25 donation


  16. #16
    durito's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-03-06
    Posts: 13,083
    SBR Points: 1078
    Message Me

    Default

    jesus christ

  17. #17

  18. #18

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Reload View Post
    The overlay Pinnacle is offering is with +1 +116 and that's what I've been saying all along. Anyone betting big on the Browns (and isn't in the US of course) should clearly take that vs the +2.5 -110 or -105. And it's why Pinnacle wants action on it.

    If a shop offered +2.5 at +100, then I could see that worth considering vs the +1 +116.
    Wow. You are absolutely helpless.

    No wonder you think Fishhead is sharp. LOL.

  19. #19
    Reload's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-23-08
    Posts: 10,792
    SBR Points: 61603
    Message Me

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by MonkeyF0cker View Post
    Wow. You are absolutely helpless.

    No wonder you think Fishhead is sharp. LOL.
    I think the helpless ones are those who will mail it in when betting on the Browns.

    CHARITY DONOR
    11/25/2011 $25 donation


  20. #20

  21. #21
    Reload's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-23-08
    Posts: 10,792
    SBR Points: 61603
    Message Me

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by MonkeyF0cker View Post
    How much money do you lose a year, Reload?
    2005 was my last losing year for what it's worth. It took the next three years to make up what I lost in '05.

    CHARITY DONOR
    11/25/2011 $25 donation


  22. #22

  23. #23

    Default

    Reload, if I can get +3 at another shop, then I will be taking the Browns most likely.

  24. #24

    Default

    KC feels like the play. Both teams are horrible, but I'd go with the home team on this one. BOL

  25. #25

  26. #26

    Default

    i love how theres no actual football information on this thread hahaahaha

    theres a lot of talk about the browns putting josh cribbs in at running back, and they might have an overall different approach to things getting a jumpstart on whatever holmgren's system will entail.
    65pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY12th Place 5/23/2012

    8,567

    SBR POKER TOP 100

    47th Place 11/1/2011

    325pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY2nd Place 5/17/2012


  27. #27
    Reload's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-23-08
    Posts: 10,792
    SBR Points: 61603
    Message Me

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Glitch View Post
    i love how theres no actual football information on this thread hahaahaha

    theres a lot of talk about the browns putting josh cribbs in at running back, and they might have an overall different approach to things getting a jumpstart on whatever holmgren's system will entail.

    That's this crew for you, Glitch. We give all these free points out, free contest money and everything else here. And still this is how everyone pays us back.

    The Browns will need all the help they can get today, Glitch. A long break after the big Steelers win should make it a real letdown here. And Pinnacle knows it.

    CHARITY DONOR
    11/25/2011 $25 donation


  28. #28

    Default

    yeah the browns have like 8 completions in their two wins combined. KC has been stayin in some games.....i guess the simple fact of the matter is that they both suck but i got a slight lean KC also
    65pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY12th Place 5/23/2012

    8,567

    SBR POKER TOP 100

    47th Place 11/1/2011

    325pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY2nd Place 5/17/2012


  29. #29

    Default

    Monkey why you so mad all the time. You must lose alot.

  30. #30
    Reload's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-23-08
    Posts: 10,792
    SBR Points: 61603
    Message Me

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by koby25 View Post
    Monkey why you so mad all the time. You must lose alot.
    He must have had a bad day yesterday, koby.

    At least he tried to make some points in this thread unlike onthewhat though.

    CHARITY DONOR
    11/25/2011 $25 donation


  31. #31

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Reload View Post
    Pinnacle offering +1 +116 for the spread and +128 on the money line.

    I am going to go with the Chiefs
    You might win, but that is not a good enough reason to be on KC!

  32. #32

    Default

    that game is one thing ,,but how the hell is GB getting 2 after winning last 5 and 4-0-1 ATS against PITT.
    65pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY12th Place 5/28/2012


  33. #33

    Default

    Y'all have scared me. I need the Browns to win today. And you're all saying I'm fukked.

  34. #34

    Default

    I watch games..these homos fight over #'s like angry little chinamen with broken calculators..

    Browns win..
    Better defense..
    Better QB..
    WR finally starting to get it..

    King

  35. #35
    Reload's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-23-08
    Posts: 10,792
    SBR Points: 61603
    Message Me

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by blueghost View Post
    that game is one thing ,,but how the hell is GB getting 2 after winning last 5 and 4-0-1 ATS against PITT.
    It's just the "Pitt can't possibly keep losing" factor. I agree - in theory, GB should probably be a 3 point favorite there at least.

    CHARITY DONOR
    11/25/2011 $25 donation


123 Last
Top