College Basketball Betting System

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01-21-11, 02:12 PM
CapDees70

College Basketball Betting System

This thread is to track 2 different College Basketball Systems for the remaining of the regular season. Some of you may already be familiar with these systems. If these systems are new to you they are easy to follow with excellent past results. Below is both systems defined and the overall records thus far for January. I will post all the plays SU and ATS for both systems in this thread.

System #1
Play ON any unranked team that is favored at home over a ranked team. The lines used to determine if there are any plays will be the opening line which means you need to receive the line on or as close as you can to the opening line. Don't worry if you can't get the opening line as all of the results for January below would have covered through the closing line.

System #2
FADE the home teams in their next game if they did cover the point spread against the ranked team whether they are home or away. Again, we will use the opening line for record tracking purposes.

I back tested both systems for the month of January (01/01-01/20) and the results are as follows.

System #1
ATS: 6-0
SU: 6-0

System #2
ATS: 5-1
SU: 6-0

As of today there are no pending system #2 plays so we can start with any system #1 plays for Saturday, 01/22/2011 in which it appears there should be at least one play. FYI, I did play a similar system for the College Football season and the results did not provide alot of plays but it did provide a overall record of 9-1.

http://images.covers.com/covers/emoticons/Peace_5.gif
01-21-11, 02:21 PM
CapDees70

Possible plays for Saturday, 01/22/2011 if the unranked home team is the opening line favorite over the ranked team:

#4 Pittsburgh @ Depaul
#5 Duke @ Wake Forest
#9 BYU @ Colorado State
#12 Kentucky @ South Carolina
#15 Louisville @ Providence
#19 Minnesota @ Michigan
#21 Saint Mary's CA @ Vanderbilt
#25 Arizona @ Washington State
01-21-11, 02:40 PM
nikevols

Love the Gaels tomorrow at Vandy
01-21-11, 02:46 PM
CapDees70

Quote:

Originally Posted by nikevols

Love the Gaels tomorrow at Vandy

If Vanderbilt is the favorite on Saturday at home versus Saint Mary's CA then Vanderbilt will be a play ON team.
01-21-11, 08:50 PM
CapDees70

01/22/201

Below are the official plays for Saturday. I use the opening lines from Bookmaker (BM) so when they become available I will edit this post with the official pointspreads and money line odds. In the meantime if you are going to tail, place your wagers as close to the opening line as you can.

System #1

#19 Minnesota @ Michigan
Play ON Michigan
ATS: -1
ML: -130

#21 Saint Mary's CA @ Vanderbilt
Play ON Vanderbilt
ATS: -5
ML: -215

#25 Arizona @ Washington State
Play ON Washington State
ATS: -2.5
ML: -140
01-21-11, 11:03 PM
sinhdinh

system #2 Fade if theyare as home or away???
01-22-11, 12:44 AM
CapDees70

Quote:

Originally Posted by sinhdinh

system #2 Fade if theyare as home or away???

Hey sin. System #2 is a automatic fade whether home or away. Of course we are fading only if the team covers the spread in system #1.
01-22-11, 12:57 AM
Small Timer

Interesting results so far.
01-22-11, 01:25 AM
CapDees70

Quote:

Originally Posted by Small Timer

Interesting results so far.

Very good for January thus far. As we all know any system we use will correct itself eventually meaning we know it won't remain undefeated. If anyone would like I can post all the previous plays with the point spreads for the month of January to help solidify the record I posted.
01-22-11, 08:33 AM
sinhdinh

HI Capdees .thank you for answer my question.Can you keep this thread go on for the end of season...?
01-22-11, 10:12 AM
CapDees70

I sure will. I am not goig anywhere.
01-22-11, 10:22 AM
CapDees70

All plays and lines are updated for Saturday in post #5.
01-22-11, 01:56 PM
CapDees70

Good luck today everyone.

:hattip:
01-22-11, 04:20 PM
CapDees70

Quote:

Originally Posted by CapDees70

01/22/201

Below are the official plays for Saturday. I use the opening lines from Bookmaker (BM) so when they become available I will edit this post with the official pointspreads and money line odds. In the meantime if you are going to tail, place your wagers as close to the opening line as you can.

System #1

#19 Minnesota @ Michigan
Play ON Michigan
ATS: -1
ML: -130

#21 Saint Mary's CA @ Vanderbilt
Play ON Vanderbilt
ATS: -5
ML: -215

Saint Mary's, CA 70
Vanderbilt 89
FINAL

#25 Arizona @ Washington State
Play ON Washington State
ATS: -2.5
ML: -140

SBR Record Tracking:
System #1 ATS: 1-0, +1.0 units
System #1 ML: 1-0, +1.0 units
System #2 ATS: 0-0
System #2 ML: 0-0
01-22-11, 06:15 PM
nitsuj378

What poll are you using? AP, ESPN/USA Today?
01-22-11, 08:50 PM
CapDees70

Quote:

Originally Posted by nitsuj378

What poll are you using? AP, ESPN/USA Today?

The AP is the only poll to use with this system. (Same as NCAAF)
01-22-11, 08:59 PM
CapDees70

Quote:

Originally Posted by CapDees70

01/22/201

Below are the official plays for Saturday. I use the opening lines from Bookmaker (BM) so when they become available I will edit this post with the official pointspreads and money line odds. In the meantime if you are going to tail, place your wagers as close to the opening line as you can.

System #1

#19 Minnesota @ Michigan
Play ON Michigan
ATS: -1
ML: -130

Minnesota 69
Michigan 64
FINAL

#21 Saint Mary's CA @ Vanderbilt
Play ON Vanderbilt
ATS: -5
ML: -215

Saint Mary's, CA 70
Vanderbilt 89
FINAL

#25 Arizona @ Washington State
Play ON Washington State
ATS: -2.5
ML: -140

SBR Record Tracking:
System #1 ATS: 1-1, -.10 units
System #1 ML: 1-1, -.30 units
System #2 ATS: 0-0
System #2 ML: 0-0
01-22-11, 09:22 PM
kernssca

Thought about going with it but didn't, did like Vandy, being Big ten fan I was hesitant about Michigan. SO far looks good with keep track
01-22-11, 09:35 PM
CapDees70

Quote:

Originally Posted by kernssca

Thought about going with it but didn't, did like Vandy, being Big ten fan I was hesitant about Michigan. SO far looks good with keep track

Yeah there is absolutely no capping with these plays. It is strictly a system style of wagering/tracking. Upon back testing back a few years the ATS results for system #1 have about a 65% win rate and with system #2 maybe slightly higher. System #1 ML wagers are mostly favorites which require laying juice and system #2 ML plays are mostly underdogs which of course give us a better payout.
01-23-11, 05:08 AM
nitsuj378

Quote:

Originally Posted by CapDees70

Yeah there is absolutely no capping with these plays. It is strictly a system style of wagering/tracking. Upon back testing back a few years the ATS results for system #1 have about a 65% win rate and with system #2 maybe slightly higher. System #1 ML wagers are mostly favorites which require laying juice and system #2 ML plays are mostly underdogs which of course give us a better payout.

So you have these results?