i'm in a bad mood
lost on some baseball picks lately and taking it out on the board, sorry
:cheers:
Something I've noticed when it comes to game handicaps or any other type of bet, really, where both players are around 50:50 to win:
When a given book has better odds on a certain player than Pinnacle, and that book later changes their odds to become worse than Pinnacle's, there's a 75% chance (if not more), that the player who is the favourite on Pinnacle will win.
I just followed this strategy now, I had Cornet and Cibulkova to cover the spread and they did.
Another such example is Hercog vs Cirstea. Hercog opened as a 2:1 dog at at least one Euro book, but Pinnacle has had her at 1.8 or lower from the start. That's a sign that Hercog should win.
But again, this only works 75% of the time, not all the time (which is good enough for me:shades:).
fukk... I missed that. I would've tailed
instead, I had the other -4500 NOT cover... which was perfect... but then my if bet to get me 600 bucks... well, that lost by a fuking 1.5 pts ... on a team that has been killing the unders
ha ha. just my fukking luck
Another match with the above described pattern:
Pous Tio vs Govortsova. Pous Tio should win.
Let's see if we can go 4-0 here.:shades: