I need some MMA action boys.
:mad0012:
Fights tonight that I like.
Bellator 63
PARLAY: Ben Saunders -380 & Bryan Baker -300 (Risking 1.5 Units)
See no reason why both these guys dont get their hand raised tonight.
Karl Amoussou +140 (Risking 1 Unit)
Fight should be closer to EV imo. Taking the plus money.
Ulimate Fighter
Al Iaquinta +250 (Risking 1 Unit)
Hoping Iaquinta can keep this fight standing. Like the kid's standup and ability to time a KO punch later in the fight.
Good luck! :cheers:
Quote:
Originally Posted by BIGDAY
GL bigday. i like the plays. i'm favoring all your guys to win except iaquinta, but i definitely see the value at +250.
Ya, shooting for value only with that one. I actually saw the line at about where it opened. He should be a dog no doubt, just told myself to take him if he got over +200 so I did.Quote:
Originally Posted by PunisherIND
We'll see. Just need some action, it's been a while..
Value is certainly with Iaquinta at current odds. Faber's No1 pick being +250 dog seems crazy! I especially dont like going against Serra/Longo guys either...most under-rated camp out there
Did u see this Bigday... http://www.cagepotato.com/disgusting...-way-possible/
:surrender: DANG dude! I Almost :+puking-1Quote:
Originally Posted by Vaughany
Horrific!
Fukkk yah!!!
Amoussou Secures a nice MMA profit for me. :grrr:
Al Iaquinta at +355 now... :surrender:
Should have waited. :banghead:
unbelievable. i had to make a play at +340Quote:
Originally Posted by BIGDAY
Amoussou was at +190 when I got him. There was still value at +140 though. Nice job! Sure you were sweating over during the Baker decision.
Don't think I'll be laying another wager for or against Baker... Was expecting a good bouce back for him, but that was horendousQuote:
Originally Posted by Vitooch
:sweep: Clean sweep boys. Nice little profit tonight. :drinks:
Why the fukk did books give +355?? Or books made good if that many people hand $$ on Jury...
Judge that scored that last round for Jury should be shot. :machinegun:
I had the same exact bets bro. CHEERS To cashing bigtime. I was on Rickels aswell so my night was a perfect 5/5.
Great job bruva :cheers:Quote:
Originally Posted by BIGDAY
Thanks man, Glad you cashed big! :drinks:Quote:
Originally Posted by Libert1ne
I think it had to be the Jury hype. Hype is a powerful force behind line movement. Also I think people were chasing after Bellator losses on Jury who was perceived to be a heavy fav.
My assessment of the odds I think jury shoulda been like -130 to -150 so I was on Iaquinta at +190, +305 and +355 in the end haha. Just don't think fighters in TUF deserve being favoured up to -400 unless like V said in his thread they're a very strong wrestler against a british fighter or something...
Also these Bellator odds have been great. So many dog plays where I don';t even think they should be dogs at all! Rickels and Amoussou both had one-sided beatdowns and were dogs. Loved it
Much more confident in favourites in the big show (UFC)
I was just as confident in Saunders, Falcao and Curran as I am the average UFC fave. Usually because the opponent of the fave is awful.
Ya, I honestly believe that if a book doesn't have a good feel for the matchup, they simply just try to middle themselves. And with less action on these type of fights there can be a ton of larger swings.
wow man. just checked my figure, forgot I wagered these picks. Look forward to your next card for sure.