[RonPaul2008]

odds at Intrade are 23.9% Ron Paul wins Maine. Currently 50% he comes in second.

Odds of him winning one or more state have increased to 40%.

Currently 19% to win Washington.

[PhillyFlyers]

And Nevada. And Colorado.

[RonPaul2008]

Romney is 99.3% to win Nevada. If Ron does well he might be able to pull off second in Nevada.
Romney is 93% to win Colorado. These 3 states are all proportional so Ron could pick up a nice chunk of delegates and move closer to 2nd place overall in delegates. A win in Maine coupled with 2nd in Nevada and/or Colorado would be a huge boost to the campaign. There are a bunch of other states that Ron may do well in too...

Idaho
Alaska
Louisiana
South Dakota
Montana
North Dakota
Wyoming
Puerto Rico
Virgin Islands
Washington

Probably leaving some out too.

[d2bets]

And Nevada. And Colorado.

No and No.

Romney is 99.3% to win Nevada.

Paul is 1.3% to win Colorado.

[PhillyFlyers]

No and No.

Romney is 99.3% to win Nevada.

Paul is 1.3% to win Colorado.

So InTrade is never wrong? Intrade's lines never adjust?

[d2bets]

So InTrade is never wrong? Intrade's lines never adjust?

Never? No. But at this fairly late date, 99% is a pretty good indication. Like the OP says, he's got a fighting chance in Maine, and maybe Washington. But Nevada? No, not a chance.