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Old 09-06-08, 12:00 AM   #1
purecarnagge
 
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Default Why you should lay the points and take Iowa at -26.5

Iowa is playing Florida International. This is a shitty football team. This is a team that got stomped and had turnover problems there first game out. Now they are traveling for round 2 of there curb stompage they will get before playing there conference schedule.

Reason 1 to take Iowa- Iowa is in the middle of a QB competition. Both QB will play again this week. Christianson was the starter last year in a very inept offense. Now the numbers don't show this but most of talk radio and people at the game last night thought the back up has better mechanics and a better delivery on the ball also they think Christenson being left handed vs Stanzi right handed is something as well. Iowa seemed more successful on plays going to the right for some reason on passing downs... with rollouts and middle range routes...

here is Iowa's QB numbers from last game

CMP% YDS TD INT
J. Christensen 60.0 122 1 1
R. Stanzi 64.3 90 0 0 0

Rushing

CAR YDS AVG TD
S. Greene 22 109 5.0 1
J. Hampton 9 68 7.6 2

Iowa has a very talented Dline for the Big 10 and RB. There defense is consistantly in the top 3rd of the big ten.

Passing attack, they are also getting there primary slot receiver back who was having hamstring problems last week. They rested him as a precaution.

So what does this tell you that Iowa is going to have 2 QB in the game fighting for the start job both who are capable of performing on the field. This means that while Iowa known for its conservative offense on opponents to not run up the score will be still having to be aggressive to some degree to allow both QB to have competition to compete for the start job for the Iowa vs Iowa state NEXT WEEK. RIVALRY GAME!!! ISU has won the last 2 ****ing years.

Iowa wants there QB situation addressed this week and they want to prove it to the fans.

Iowa is going to take FIU to task and roll them right out of the stadium in time for your to lay your bets for the 4:30 games or evening games in CFB or lay down on NFL action.
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Old 09-06-08, 12:14 AM   #2
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This sounds like a fan pick to me .............. i would just save your money and enjoy the tailgating and the win which will never be in doubt , and not worry about this cover it could go either way basically a coin flip in my opinion
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Old 09-06-08, 12:31 AM   #3
flyingillini
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BeatTheJerk View Post
This sounds like a fan pick to me .............. i would just save your money and enjoy the tailgating and the win which will never be in doubt , and not worry about this cover it could go either way basically a coin flip in my opinion
Agreed on the fan pick thing. I do see Iowa putting a beatdown on them though.
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Old 09-06-08, 12:32 AM   #4
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negative, Stanzi is the real deal he should win the competition. This game will be over at halftime. This will cover due to the qb competition otherwise I would not make this pick...

Both QB played 1st half of last week and both will this week...both will play in both halfs... this score will be run up because of this.

I bet ILL vs Iowa last year and you ****ed me FlyingILL WTF
I Bet Mich St vs Iowa last year...and Iowa came back and ****ed me...

This is capping skills. I love Iowa, but I will sell them out for winning $$$$'s
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Old 09-06-08, 12:35 AM   #5
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PTI=Penalties,Tournovers,Injuries = never a lock............. GL though
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Old 09-06-08, 12:43 AM   #6
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it is not a lock. But I am glad you changed your avatar...

but I like the pick. NCAAF is weak this weekend though.

I like cardinals/jets/Colts this weekend.
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Old 09-06-08, 12:44 AM   #7
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PC I can change it back for you sweetheart if you like ?
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Old 09-06-08, 12:59 AM   #8
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BeatTheJerk View Post
PC I can change it back for you sweetheart if you like ?
I'm not gay no need to make passes at me bro
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Old 09-06-08, 01:00 AM   #9
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sorry sir ........... nextime i'll know better
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Old 09-06-08, 01:06 AM   #10
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Iowa rolls............
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Old 09-06-08, 06:50 AM   #11
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The -26.5 looks good, but deceiving. Like any big underdog point spread you always have to factor in the backdoor cover scenario. For you to take that bet, you have to be absolutely convinced that Iowa is capable of beating FIT by 34 points or more.
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Old 09-06-08, 07:32 AM   #12
manny24
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iowa licked balls last year and they're going 2 lick balls again this year. not sure if they can even score 4 touchdowns in practice. had a large bet on iowa state game last year and was smiling from the opening kickoff. big smile.
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Old 09-06-08, 09:46 AM   #13
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The only problem with that scenario is they just raped Maine...

And the 2 qb competition will let this happen easily
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Old 09-06-08, 10:09 AM   #14
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Shit iowa team total is 34....Iowa puts up 35 minium in these blowout games...

Pounding iowa team total over.

2500 on game 2500 on team total...

hope the local doesn't murder my ass
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Old 09-06-08, 10:16 AM   #15
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we have a football team in maine?
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Old 09-06-08, 10:26 AM   #16
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Quote:
Originally Posted by purecarnagge View Post
Shit iowa team total is 34....Iowa puts up 35 minium in these blowout games...

Pounding iowa team total over.

2500 on game 2500 on team total...

hope the local doesn't murder my ass
I'll throw a small unit, I'm convinced. I'll be a Hawkeye fan for a few hours, today.
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Old 09-06-08, 10:28 AM   #17
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OOOOOOOOOOOHHHHHHHHHH!!!!!!!!! They changed the line from 26.5, to 27 on Caribsports, right in the middle of my wager. look out!!!
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Old 09-06-08, 11:51 AM   #18
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i got fla. int'l +27 just for you carnage!
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Old 09-06-08, 01:49 PM   #19
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my bad. done like dinner at the half.
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Old 09-06-08, 02:02 PM   #20
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wow impressive dead on balls accurate thus far with your selections buddy
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Old 09-06-08, 02:34 PM   #21
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Nice pick... I read this post and decided to take over 21 1st half. Think it took just over one quarter to cash. Should have parlayed it with Iowa.... Good job!
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Old 09-06-08, 03:45 PM   #22
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Thanks boys, while a fan I did bet against the hawks 3x last year and lost 2 of them. I'm objective with my money and the local isn't returning my calls... I know he's getting calls from every hawk fan wanting to know about the money.... I'll roll my winnings into an account with the local and use it for rest of the year...will still use 5 dimes for my parlays/teasers.

Glad I could cover for the guys who followed me... If you bet on FIU...why did you take the 118th ranked team in Div 1 football... objectiveness guys... stats, run numbers, trust your gut.
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