[purecarnagge]

I'm on him he's 50/50 at worst... never lost money following the herd. I also fade b/lang andmake my own picks... So far I'm up 20 units this year...but wondering how payouts will go... I always get slowpayed.

[smitch124]

Hey Capy, I haven't really been betting them because I usually bet college earlier in the week, but I have been using them in contests that need alot of picks like the Bet Jam pick 15. I think he does have a good feeling for certain teams though.

Ohio St. being one of them. I don't know if you listen to the show, but he said that he was on Ohio St. early in the week, but a wise guy friend of his from Vegas told him he was nuts and Penn St. is the play, we'll see what happens!

[Capybara]

I'm on him he's 50/50 at worst... never lost money following the herd. I also fade b/lang andmake my own picks... So far I'm up 20 units this year...but wondering how payouts will go... I always get slowpayed.

20 units, same as me this year, Congrats. But now that baseball is almost over, I'm in trouble -- I'm actually down a few units so far with NCAA football, can't catch a break. Or possibly I'm just clueless. Ahead for the weekend though from Boise St., maybe I should stop now!

[Capybara]

Hey Capy, I haven't really been betting them because I usually bet college earlier in the week, but I have been using them in contests that need alot of picks like the Bet Jam pick 15. I think he does have a good feeling for certain teams though.

Ohio St. being one of them. I don't know if you listen to the show, but he said that he was on Ohio St. early in the week, but a wise guy friend of his from Vegas told him he was nuts and Penn St. is the play, we'll see what happens!

Okay, thanks, smitch, still not sure what I'm gonna do. Gonna see what they have to say on College Gameday -- you guys ever give any credence to their thoughts?

[smitch124]

Okay, thanks, smitch, still not sure what I'm gonna do. Gonna see what they have to say on College Gameday -- you guys ever give any credence to their thoughts?

You know I never watch it. I listen to the Radio College gameday, but take it with a grain of salt.

[laxdjock]

i mean, nobody in the world can get over 55% or so year in and year out so how much better can he be then my girlfriend who picks teams based on which towns she likes

I knew a girl who would pick games based on which mascot she liked better.

[smitch124]

Wheel of Genius update:

Week 9: 4-1
Overall: 27-17-2

[smitch124]

Wheel of Genius: Week 10

Florida -6.5 over Georgia - Urban 8-1 in big games. Florida leads in scoring def and fewest turnovers lost, Georgia leads in penalties (Fla 34, Ga 20)

West Virginia -3.5 over UConn - WV stops the run thats all UConn can do. WVU has the better QB. (WV 30, Uconn 20)

Oregon +3 over California - Oregon offense better than weak overrated Cal offense this season. (Oregon 34, Cal 27)

Texas -3.5 over Texas Tech - Huge Texas special teams edge. (Texas 37, Texas Tech 30)

[smitch124]

Wheel of Genius for week 10: 2-2
For the season: 29-19-2

Picks tomorrow...

[smitch124]

Wheel of Genius Week 11:

California +22 over USC - Cal will slow down the game (USC 33, Cal 21)

Alabama -3.5 over LSU - Alabama dominating the running game 1900-600 total yards. Game is during the day instead of night (Alabama 37, LSU 27)

Penn St. -7.5 over Iowa - Iowa's good defensive stats against poor opponents (Penn St. 36 Iowa 21)

Oklahoma St. +3.5 over Texas Tech - Oklahoma St. balanced and talented. Texas Tech kicking game a train wreck (Ok. St. 36, Tex Tech 26)

[ZBOIZ]

Love the Cal pick don't know about the rest

[smitch124]

Wheel of Genius Week 11: 2-2
Overall: 31-21-2

Week 12:

Stanford +23.5 over USC - Stanford 4-0 at home. they are a young team that does much better at home. USC can move the ball but has trouble scoring. (USC 30, Stanford 17)

Texas -13.5 over Kansas - Texas 50+ points 3 of last 4 vs. Kansas. Kansas 5-47-1 against top 5 teams (Texas 45, Kansas 20)

Notre Dame -4 over Navy - When Notre scores over 20 they usually win. They will score over 20 vs. Navy (Notre Dame 27, Navy 17)

Ohio St. -9.5 over Illinois - OSU has covered 14 straight road games over Big-10 opponents, sweater vest rolls (Ohio St. 33, Illinois 17)

[smitch124]

Wheel of Genius Week 12: 4-0
Overall: 35-21-2

Week 13:

Utah -7 over BYU - BYU athletes slower than a DMV line. Utah has better athletes. (Utah 28, BYU 20) He quoted the line at -4 on the show, not sure where he came up with that.

Tex Tech +7 over Oklahoma - Close, wild shootout (Oklahoma 38, Texas Tech 36)

Arizona -2.5 over Oregon - Az tough at home. Ore St. is young at key positions and doesn't perform well on the road. (Arizona 31, Oregon 24)

Penn St. -14.5 over Mich St. - Penn St. elite on both sides of the ball. Mich St. one dimensional on offense. (Penn St. 36, Michigan 10)

[krk1030]

He is doing great, but on his show he says hes around 70%, 62.5% is great, but its not 70.

[Sinister Cat]

Thanks for posting these every week smitch. I know nothing about college football, so I've tailed either Pags or Cowherd pretty much every week, with small bets, just to have some action. I'm somehow down a bit overall this season.. bad luck (missed out on Cowherd's 4-0 last week, for instance).

[smitch124]

He is doing great, but on his show he says hes around 70%, 62.5% is great, but its not 70.

Yes, he quotes a slightly better record than I have for him, and its still under 70%, not sure where he gets his 70% from.

I give him the spread he quotes if I can find it anywhere, otherwise I go with the best available spread at the time of the picks.

[smitch124]

Wheel of Genius Week 13: 2-2
Overall: 37-23-2

Week 14:

Oregon St. -3 over Oregon - Oregon St. will control the line of scrimmage, Ore St. off coaches a mismatch over Ore def coaches. (Ore St. 39, Ore 24)

Notre Dame +33 over USC - USC offense struggles to score at times. Too many points

Oklahoma State +7 over Oklahoma - OK State a very balanced team and a great home team coming off a bye against a team coming off an emotional win (Oklahoma 27, Ok State 26)

Florida -16.5 over Fla St. - Urban Meyer 10-1 vs. rivals. Florida St. struggles against good defenses (Fla 42, Fla St. 17)

[smitch124]

Wheel of Genius Week 14: 1-3
Overall: 38-26-2

Virginia Tech pk over Boston College - Boston College starting a redshirt freshman against a very good defense. (Virginia Tech 27, BC 21)

Arizona -10.5 over Az. St - AZ at home off a bye. This is like a bowl game for Arizona and Az. St. missing 8 starters without the depth to replace them (Az 31, Az St.13)

Oklahoma -17 over Missouri - Missou simply doesn't have the overall roster that Oklahoma has. (Oklahoma 51, Missou 21)

Alabama +10 over Florida - Better defense has won last 6 SEC champ games. Alabama similar to Miss, the only team to beat Florida this year. (Fla 30, Alabama 28)

[smitch124]

Wheel of Genius Week 15: 3-1
Overall: 41-27-2

5 Bowl Games to come Next Friday...

[smitch124]

Wheel of Genius: 41-27-2

Bowl games:

Florida -3 over Oklahoma - Defense play a larger roll after layoffs, Florida's is better. Meyer better big game coach than Stoops. (Fla 37, OK 30)

Texas -9.5 over Ohio St. - Texas defense is underrated and Texas has a HUGE edge at QB. (Tex 34, Ohio St. 20)

Oregon +3.5 over Oklahoma St. - Oregon has best rushing offense in the country. Oregon loves shootouts and has excellent off coordinator. (Ore 52, Ok St. 44)

Penn St. +10 over USC - Big Ten teams don't play well out west, but USC offense not good enough to pull away from Penn St. (USC 28, Penn St. 20)

LOCK

Georgia -7.5 Mich. St - Georgia has huge edge at QB. Basically a home game for Georgia, who has a more diverse offense. (GA 31, Mich St. 17)

The Wheel of Genius is now retired for life....

[smitch124]

Wheel of Genius: 41-27-2

Bowl games:

Florida -3 over Oklahoma - Defense play a larger roll after layoffs, Florida's is better. Meyer better big game coach than Stoops. (Fla 37, OK 30)

Texas -9.5 over Ohio St. - Texas defense is underrated and Texas has a HUGE edge at QB. (Tex 34, Ohio St. 20)

Oregon +3.5 over Oklahoma St. - Oregon has best rushing offense in the country. Oregon loves shootouts and has excellent off coordinator. (Ore 52, Ok St. 44)

Penn St. +10 over USC - Big Ten teams don't play well out west, but USC offense not good enough to pull away from Penn St. (USC 28, Penn St. 20)

LOCK

Georgia -7.5 Mich. St - Georgia has huge edge at QB. Basically a home game for Georgia, who has a more diverse offense. (GA 31, Mich St. 17)

The Wheel of Genius is now retired for life....

Bowl Picks 3-2

[smitch124]

Overall: 44-29-2

for any who are interested:

Baltimore (Straight up), Philly (Straight up), Carolina (ATS) and Pittsburgh (ATS) are Colin's picks for the divisional playoff round.

[smitch124]

Overall: 44-29-2

for any who are interested:

Baltimore (Straight up), Philly (Straight up), Carolina (ATS) and Pittsburgh (ATS) are Colin's picks for the divisional playoff round.

Last week: 3-1 (2 straight up Dog winners)

This weeks picks:

Arizona 30 Philly 20
Baltimore 23 Steelers 20 (Straight up Dog winner)

(I will use these as my 3333rd post picks, hehe)

[Chi_archie]

nice work smitch.... lucky 3's