One way you can tell if a player is sharp ->

SBR_John · 04-02-2006, 12:36 PM

..he plays baseball. No seriously think about it. I dont think I ever met a pro that did not play bases. Its by far the easiest and lowest juice sport out there and they play what 400 games?

The Great One · 04-02-2006, 12:46 PM

They play farmore than 400 games. For the next 6 months, there are 15 games a day, except on Thursdays when they cut it too 8.

People bet on baseball to build up their bankroll for the real sports season starting in September.

BTW: I'm still a better athlete than Babe Ruth.

Mudcat · 04-02-2006, 12:49 PM

Not everyone who bets baseball is sharp - I have seen some pretty big train wrecks on the MLB capping forums over the years - but I would agree that basically all pros would bet baseball.

presley177 · 04-02-2006, 12:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Great One

BTW: I'm still a better athlete than Babe Ruth.

I seriously doubt you could hit a water logged baseball 300 feet with a 40+ ounce bat. I'd bet everything I own that you couldn't.

Jay Edgar · 04-02-2006, 12:55 PM

Agreed.

And there are 2430 regular season games on the schedule.

One tonight, 2429 after that.

(So, I says to myself, no need to rush in before we see what's what)

bigboydan · 04-02-2006, 12:59 PM

bases is probly the most profitable sport out there according to most people i talk too.

i don't feel you have to even play 400 games a year to turn a perty big profit. your going to maximize your earning units from opening day to roughly the all-star break.

after the all-star break comes around, teams tend to start taking each game a little bit more seriously. you can tell it due to the sharper lines the books put out there. when those lines start getting razor sharpe, i just move on to focusing on my football homework.

SBR_John · 04-02-2006, 01:01 PM

The sportsbooks will tell you the first two weeks of basball are their most dangerous time of year. Start of baskets is a scary time too. Reason: They can get out capped by even the general public until they have some history to know where to set the lines.

Fishhead · 04-02-2006, 02:23 PM

Very low hold percentage on bases for the books.

GREAT SPORT FOR SCALPING!!

Patrick McIrish · 04-02-2006, 03:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SBR_John

The sportsbooks will tell you the first two weeks of basball are their most dangerous time of year. Start of baskets is a scary time too. Reason: They can get out capped by even the general public until they have some history to know where to set the lines.

There is some merit to that, I just admittedly am not sharp enough to take advantage of it. I just put it in another thread I do better to wait, I can pull up my stuff and see that April is always a bad month for me. In fact unlike Dan I do much better after the break, even do well in September when the rosters get extended and lot of people are out of the race. It's odd, I'm not sure why though I have some opinions on it.

It is true though for those much sharper than I, hit them early and hard if you can, lines will only get tighter. Sort of like NCAA hoops, good cappers can always do well before conference play starts if they are worth their salt. After that the boys are much more able to set tighter lines than they had before conference play began. Ever good capper I have ever known could make hay before conference play started....

The Great One · 04-02-2006, 03:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by presley177

I seriously doubt you could hit a water logged baseball 300 feet with a 40+ ounce bat. I'd bet everything I own that you couldn't.

I could if I was facing the same caliber of "athletes" that he was or even faced during that supposed rumor of the dark ages. Come on, look at the guy.

You probably don't even think a minor leaguer of today is better than babe due you. vMaybe if that minor leeaguer got drunk every night, then he might be able to compete with fatty, right?

pags11 · 04-02-2006, 05:24 PM

I've never really had success with baseball, but that was young in my handicapping career...have trouble watching a lot of the games, and I don't like betting on games I can't watch...that's just me though...

presley177 · 04-02-2006, 05:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Great One

I could if I was facing the same caliber of "athletes" that he was or even faced during that supposed rumor of the dark ages. Come on, look at the guy.

You probably don't even think a minor leaguer of today is better than babe due you. vMaybe if that minor leeaguer got drunk every night, then he might be able to compete with fatty, right?

look at Cecil Fielder and his son? true fat asses...but you can't put up numbers like they have/will.

It's easy to say athletes would be fast food workers today when you know nothing about the player's ability back then. You should add the "I'm better than Babe Ruth" to your signature. It's a good laugh.

The Great One · 04-02-2006, 05:59 PM

Yeah and if Cecil Fielder played back in the 1840's when Babe did, his stats would be twice what babe's were.

I say I'm better than Babe because I know I'm more athletic. I'm bigger, faster, and stronger. Not to mention i have seen sports played back in the day. They weren't real. Players didn't exercise. You've already admitted Babe got drunk everyday.

Today, there are camps kids go too, nutrishionist, and all of that. Today if you want to be a MLB player,, you better get going early and go to all the camps whenn you are a kid in Florida, get on some traveling teams and play on a high powered little league allstar team just to have a chance.

Like I said, no doubt I'm a better athlete than Babe Ruth. I'm 6'5" AND 235-240 OF MUSCLE. Single digits bodyfat.

Babe can't compete with that. He'd only beat me in a pie-eating contest or beer chugging event.

SBR_John · 04-02-2006, 08:09 PM

Being a better athlete doesn’t have much to do with hitting a curve ball. I'm sure that faggot Olympic diver Greg Louganis was a better athlete(pre AIDS of course) than the Babe was too.

Don’t forget, that athletes like Ruth hardly worked out and did not have strength coaches and steroids and nutrition experts and trainers. They mostly drank beer and showed up with hangovers.

The Great One · 04-02-2006, 08:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SBR_John

Being a better athlete doesn’t have much to do with hitting a curve ball. I'm sure that faggot Olympic diver Greg Louganis was a better athlete(pre AIDS of course) than the Babe was too.

Don’t forget, that athletes like Ruth hardly worked out and did not have strength coaches and steroids and nutrition experts and trainers. They mostly drank beer and showed up with hangovers.

Exactly, not a very redeemable quality of someone that is supposed to be a better athlete than me. But, i understand what you are getting at. The problem was the game wasn't competitive back then like it is today.

Think what I could do with a bat in my hands right now aginst those weaklings from the 1800's.

presley177 · 04-02-2006, 08:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Great One

Think what I could do with a bat in my hands right now aginst those weaklings from the 1800's.

hit .210

stump · 04-02-2006, 09:40 PM

baseball is a great sport to bet, but Mudcat is right - many players get killed betting heavy favorites, you need to grind it out over the long season. Dogs offer great value especially in April and May