07-28-08, 01:26 PM
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#1
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Gambling videos
Got a serious question you want addressed? send it to me. If it's interesting, I'll do a video on it.
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07-28-08, 01:36 PM
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#2
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Hillsborough, NJ.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Justin7
Got a serious question you want addressed? send it to me. If it's interesting, I'll do a video on it.
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The importance of accurate record keeping and important data bases that you use.
__________________
Slick's Picks
"Sometimes you gotta jockey it in Nicky"
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07-28-08, 01:38 PM
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#3
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Hillsborough, NJ.
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Number of bets per day or week. Some are very selective, some more volume bettors. Thoughts?
__________________
Slick's Picks
"Sometimes you gotta jockey it in Nicky"
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07-28-08, 01:39 PM
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#4
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Hillsborough, NJ.
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Being selective and specializing. You can't bet every sport and expect to profit.
__________________
Slick's Picks
"Sometimes you gotta jockey it in Nicky"
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07-28-08, 01:40 PM
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#5
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escarbajo negro
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I'd love to be able to see the prop betting seminar, since I can't make it to the bash.
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07-28-08, 01:40 PM
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#6
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whats your most profitable sport?
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07-28-08, 01:44 PM
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#7
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Hillsborough, NJ.
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Realistic ROI goals for a season.
__________________
Slick's Picks
"Sometimes you gotta jockey it in Nicky"
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07-28-08, 01:52 PM
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#8
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How should one interpret line movement? Does it really matter if a dog goes from +137 to +135? Does it matter when the line moves during the day? Does it matter if it moves in favor of the dog or for the favorite? Should line movement ever hold you off a play? Should you ever blindly tail a play because it is being steamed? Does the book where the line move occur matter? Etc......
Thanks....
Last edited by BuddyBear; 07-28-08 at 01:56 PM..
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07-28-08, 02:29 PM
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#9
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why does bodog suck more now than before?
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07-28-08, 02:33 PM
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#10
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why parlays dont win!
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king man
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07-28-08, 03:10 PM
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#11
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The lesser-known curse
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BuddyBear
How should one interpret line movement? Does it really matter if a dog goes from +137 to +135? Does it matter when the line moves during the day? Does it matter if it moves in favor of the dog or for the favorite? Should line movement ever hold you off a play? Should you ever blindly tail a play because it is being steamed? Does the book where the line move occur matter? Etc......
Thanks....
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Would love to learn more about this... |
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07-28-08, 03:16 PM
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#12
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me too......
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king man
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07-28-08, 03:37 PM
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#13
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Keep the great ideas flowing...
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07-28-08, 03:40 PM
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#14
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 umm.. let me see
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king man
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07-28-08, 03:42 PM
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#15
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The lesser-known curse
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I'd like to know the methods people use to come up with their own lines, to compare with the actual lines....
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07-28-08, 03:56 PM
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#16
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Quote:
Originally Posted by smitch124
I'd like to know the methods people use to come up with their own lines, to compare with the actual lines....
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I would also like to know |
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07-28-08, 03:59 PM
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#17
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When's the release date of these videos
__________________
MATCHBOOK for the win
From SBR Chat
madmaxx: i promise you i would beat your ass
madmaxx: if i see a guy kick a dog he's getting tackled and beaten
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07-30-08, 08:33 PM
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#18
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USC ml
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i got ton of questions to ask you, so i made a list, you can pick and choose for your video topics
- what combination of statistics do you find significant when capping MLB, NCAA FB, Arena, NFL, NBA etc.
- can you describe what is like to manage lines in a regular day...when do you lay off bets, when do you change lines etc...do you keep track of winning account?
- have you ever met a successful pro gambler who often use martingal-isk or antimartingale-isk staking strategies? (they are rare, but i am just wondering if they exist)
- how many books do you use, and at what point the trade off is not worth the hassle. (i'd think if you have more than 15 books, it would be pretty hard to manage and it might end up costing you too much time)
- can you give us some examples of correlated events, and minor correlated parlayable events?
that is all i can think of at this point. if i can think of more interesting topics, i'll post it later. |
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07-30-08, 11:52 PM
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#19
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Two things are coming out soon. First, a test: Are you smart enough to be a sports bettor? It's all easy math. That will be web-based, not a video.
Second, I'm doing a video on Kelly Criterion. It won't be super-heavy on math - more general theory of it, and when you can and cannot use it.
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07-31-08, 12:37 AM
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#20
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How about the fundamentals of designing a Markov chain model for baseball handicapping?  |
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07-31-08, 12:46 AM
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#21
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Release date is... when I get to it  I'll try to get one this week. Next week will be tough though - I have to go to the World Boardgaming Championships. |
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07-31-08, 01:02 AM
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#22
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If you had two bets you really like, so called locks. Which route is better, the Total or Point Spread?
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08-24-08, 07:13 AM
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#23
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The Z Factor is an easy formula to use to determine the significance of a set of results in Football and Basketball.
However, how can the significance of a set of results in MLB, for example, be determined assuming the same amount of money is bet on each game and the set of results are all based on betting underdogs with varying moneylines?
I've asked this question on this Forum already: See "Z Factor and Money Lines". However, there was no clearcut formula given (that I could understand, at least).
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08-24-08, 08:09 AM
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#24
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The do's and don't of sports betting in vegas. Proper way to get a five figure bet down.
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08-24-08, 10:11 AM
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#25
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Philosophy Frog
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I'd like to see a video on parlays... are they ever a good wager? i.e. if you like a side but know that the only way they can win is if they keep the game low scoring, is it worth it to parlay with the under when taking this team?
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08-24-08, 10:21 AM
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#26
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I'd like to see a video on, how to get over the addiction of posting. Thanks.
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08-24-08, 10:27 AM
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#27
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i think that instead of asking for a gambling video, we should request a "how to quit gambling video"... so we can all get out of the house and go socialize with society, and MAYBE even get laid..
this is not right.. you shouldn't be encouraging us with a gambling video.. you should be encouraging us to quit gambling video. this is like you making a video on how to smoke crack the proper way..
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08-24-08, 10:37 AM
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#28
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I'd like to see a break down on reduced juice vs wd fee books...
And at what point does hedging on line movement become viable?
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08-24-08, 02:10 PM
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#29
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Quote:
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And at what point does hedging on line movement become viable?
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Ganchrow has an excellent post on this somewhere. I'll see if I can find it. |
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08-24-08, 02:57 PM
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#30
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i want to know how you math dudes come up with your formulas that say you have a 83% or 91% or whatever % edge for a play, and then you guys use that kelly thing to figure out how much you should bet. i'm just clueless how you math guys come up with a formula for each game, and for each sport.
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08-24-08, 03:13 PM
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#31
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Quote:
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i want to know how you math dudes come up with your formulas that say you have a 83% or 91% or whatever % edge for a play, and then you guys use that kelly thing to figure out how much you should bet. i'm just clueless how you math guys come up with a formula for each game, and for each sport.
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Can't give out too much information or the edge would no longer be there. The most basic way, which requires zero work, would be to assume efficient market at Pinnacle (or whatever book/combo of books you like) and find off lines at books like SIA, Bodog, etc. I'd definitely use a margin of error/fractional Kelly for this though. |
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08-24-08, 05:51 PM
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#32
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BuddyBear
How should one interpret line movement? Does it really matter if a dog goes from +137 to +135? Does it matter when the line moves during the day? Does it matter if it moves in favor of the dog or for the favorite? Should line movement ever hold you off a play? Should you ever blindly tail a play because it is being steamed? Does the book where the line move occur matter? Etc......
Thanks....
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I second this |
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08-24-08, 06:42 PM
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#33
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Data mining vs relevant trends
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08-24-08, 10:24 PM
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#34
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Brady2Moss
I second this |
Justin already made a video covering this, its listed in the Think Tank. |
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08-25-08, 01:16 AM
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#35
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Quote:
Originally Posted by smitch124
I'd like to know the methods people use to come up with their own lines, to compare with the actual lines....
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i would love to know the answer to.i would also like to know if is profitable,or not.if it is more profitable,it could be a dangerous weapon.there is a beter called doctor bob,he uses numbers alot in dictating the outcome of the game.i would love to learn more.  |
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