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Old 07-14-2008, 04:29 AM   #1 (permalink)
woodg8
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I won about 3 games last night on the +1.5 run line. The only one that didn't come through was Detroit scoring bottom 8th and Twins lost 4-2.

Moral of the story is, +1.5 comes through more often than moneyline.
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Old 07-14-2008, 06:02 AM   #2 (permalink)
LoveTheNBA23
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When you lose by the runline it seems to hurt a lot more. I had The Brewers and the Red Sox yesterday and those were my only two plays. Both lost by 1, Sox gave up the only run on the second last play of the game.
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Old 07-14-2008, 06:18 AM   #3 (permalink)
RogueJuror
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Quote:
Originally Posted by LoveTheNBA23 View Post
When you lose by the runline it seems to hurt a lot more.
But that's a psycological factor, and it's something you should work on overcoming.
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Old 07-14-2008, 08:59 AM   #4 (permalink)
Dazzez
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Quote:
Originally Posted by woodg8 View Post
Moral of the story is, +1.5 comes through more often than moneyline.
Hmm, I wonder how one might extend this logic to +2.5 run lines?
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Old 07-14-2008, 09:21 AM   #5 (permalink)
LT Profits
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Quote:
Originally Posted by woodg8 View Post
I won about 3 games last night on the +1.5 run line. The only one that didn't come through was Detroit scoring bottom 8th and Twins lost 4-2.

Moral of the story is, +1.5 comes through more often than moneyline.
Yes but the Money Line is more profitable in the long run because of the high odds you are laying on the +1.5, where you are oftentimes turning an underdog (i.e., +150) into a favorite (around +1.5 -140 if on road).
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I may disagree with LT from time to time, but he's not a tard.
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Old 07-14-2008, 11:57 AM   #6 (permalink)
Tsoprano
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Lot of "easy runline plays" have choked in the last inning lately, only coming through for a 1 run, moneyline bet.
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Old 07-14-2008, 12:21 PM   #7 (permalink)
hackattack
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I equate the 1.5 run line to a touchdown in football.
We all know how difficult it is in the NFL to pick heavy chalks on a consistent basis.

I prefer the moneyline.
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Old 07-14-2008, 12:58 PM   #8 (permalink)
chipski
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Brady2Moss View Post
I think people get suckered into runlines when the favorite is laying -200 ML and only -110 RL, its very tempting and people think "its only 1 more run"

Vegas would not offer runlines if they were profit machines, lol well maybe for them it is....
what plays do you like to make exactly ? lol
you seem lost and out of touch with reality .
last night you were knocking people on the mets ..
keep trying you will get one

no offense
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Old 07-14-2008, 01:00 PM   #9 (permalink)
gordon gekko
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Stick to money lines.
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Old 07-14-2008, 01:11 PM   #10 (permalink)
woodg8
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Quote:
Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
Yes but the Money Line is more profitable in the long run because of the high odds you are laying on the +1.5, where you are oftentimes turning an underdog (i.e., +150) into a favorite (around +1.5 -140 if on road).
Given that I've lost more moneylines than runlines, I think it's fair to say runlines have been much more profitable for me. the odds will be slightly shorter, but there's a greater chance of it happening.

3 losses by 1 happened to me one night. I won them all because of the +1.5, whereas I would have lost every single one on the moneyline, and I've never gone back to moneyline since (unless it's red sox at fenway)
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Old 07-14-2008, 02:01 PM   #11 (permalink)
Dazzez
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chipski View Post
the real breakdown would be to provide #s .. but the #s would not truly tell how a particular individual or the smaller % of guys overall could in fact excel in streaks .. and do okay

it would be smart to wager $50 on a -1.5 with the potential to make $60 than to wager $150 with the fav on the ml when the fav loses straight up . you saved $100

the times you wager $150 - $200 on the ml to make a measly $100 on the fav to win straight up and were saved because your fav won by a run would most likely not be the smart way to go overall ..

it all depends on who you are and which teams you WAGERED MORE TO MAKE LESS ON ..
if we looked at 500 games wagered like this , meaning on the ml wagering MORE TO MAKE LESS most would come out on the losing end ..
this is the 1 - 3 top reason why the books are successful , they want you to wager more to make less and hit a 0 - 4 streak , etc . then the ALL IN bs ..
THEY DO NOT WANT PEOPLE TO WAGER LESS TO MAKE MORE AS A WHOLE ..

top 3 reasons sportsbooks make $$
1 > casinos
2 > parlays
3 > wagering big on the ml , wagering more to make less
(who in their right mind would not profit overall going head up against people wagering $1000 to make $500 .. )
You don't think the prevalence of degenerate know-it-all mental midgets such as yourself factors in just a little to their bottom line? Maybe just very, very slightly? Hmm?

I'd respond to this post if I thought there even the slightest chance in hell that your reply would be anything other than a semiliterate "DUH". Not only that but I've already seen similar nonsense addressed and put to bed by the likes of Ganch, DonJuan, and, juuso. I doubt I could do any better.

My honest advice: post less, read more, and don't have babies. The world will ultimately thank you.

I will ultimately thank you.


Your Friend in Christ,
Dazzez
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Old 07-14-2008, 02:43 PM   #12 (permalink)
woodg8
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dazzez View Post
You don't think the prevalence of degenerate know-it-all mental midgets such as yourself factors in just a little to their bottom line? Maybe just very, very slightly? Hmm?

I'd respond to this post if I thought there even the slightest chance in hell that your reply would be anything other than a semiliterate "DUH". Not only that but I've already seen similar nonsense addressed and put to bed by the likes of Ganch, DonJuan, and, juuso. I doubt I could do any better.

My honest advice: post less, read more, and don't have babies. The world will ultimately thank you.

I will ultimately thank you.


Your Friend in Christ,
Dazzez
You from Nigeria? How much money you want me to send this time?
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Old 07-14-2008, 04:11 PM   #13 (permalink)
chipski
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Default jealous assholes

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dazzez View Post
You don't think the prevalence of degenerate know-it-all mental midgets such as yourself factors in just a little to their bottom line? Maybe just very, very slightly? Hmm?

I'd respond to this post if I thought there even the slightest chance in hell that your reply would be anything other than a semiliterate "DUH". Not only that but I've already seen similar nonsense addressed and put to bed by the likes of Ganch, DonJuan, and, juuso. I doubt I could do any better.

My honest advice: post less, read more, and don't have babies. The world will ultimately thank you.

I will ultimately thank you.


Your Friend in Christ,
Dazzez
wow ! now that was good useful feedback !
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Old 07-14-2008, 04:25 PM   #14 (permalink)
chipski
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Default message to the creepos

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dazzez View Post
Not only that but I've already seen similar nonsense addressed and put to bed by the likes of Ganch, DonJuan, and, juuso. I doubt I could do any better.

My honest advice: post less, read more, and don't have babies. The world will ultimately thank you.

I will ultimately thank you.


Your Friend in Christ,
Dazzez
odds on who this rude sack of shi! is
no odds , chalk it up as a loss all the way around

whoever you are you are one insecure piece of work .
seek therapy !
you dont want none of me , i dont care how many names you have on here .. or who is just as silly as you are that will attack me to make your punk ass feel better .
i try to help people learn something , you must be threatened ..

always remember this if you never listen to anything else , those that try and curb the truth and keep people in the dark will surely reap no real reward . $$ aint no thing

Last edited by chipski : 07-14-2008 at 04:42 PM. Reason: no odds / no logic
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Old 07-14-2008, 05:24 PM   #15 (permalink)
Dazzez
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I'm sorry, chipski.

You're right, I was being rude and unhelpful.
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Old 07-14-2008, 05:52 PM   #16 (permalink)
chipski
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dazzez View Post
You don't think the prevalence of degenerate know-it-all mental midgets such as yourself factors in just a little to their bottom line? Maybe just very, very slightly? Hmm?

I
Dazzez
one way i play is i deal with 2 bookies and i have an average of around 60%
overall in the last xxx years on -110 odds and under on single tickets .
i started picking games when i was 6 or 7 years old .
what i knew then compared to now would in fact fit into your mental midgit category . no way i could be a mental midgit now even if i wanted too ..
if you live this mess day after day and year after year surely you progress in what you know ..
is no way around it really . it just is .
the more you are involved in anything in life the more you learn and grow and can actually see things happening before they happen ..