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Old 06-19-08, 05:31 PM   #1
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Default 52.38% sounds so easy, yet so hard...

The break even point for point spreads at -110.

Win 54, 55 of every 100 games and you show a profit.

Sounds easy.....but yet so difficult...
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Old 06-19-08, 05:32 PM   #2
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never heard of anyone going broke from betting only dogs
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145pts

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Old 06-19-08, 05:32 PM   #3
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It is very difficult if you are running bad.
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Old 06-19-08, 05:46 PM   #4
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-105 is needed and exchanges and slow moving books...with those its really not that hard to win something.. of course you also need a book that pays! toss in a bonus, toss in player points winning can be done...

Last edited by trytrytry; 06-19-08 at 05:50 PM.
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Old 06-19-08, 05:48 PM   #5
rake922
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just bet against the nationals
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Old 06-19-08, 06:28 PM   #6
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slicker, you dont have to win 52.38% if you play at matchy. most games that are -110 are +103, or +102, or +106, or even.. some at -101, or -102..


just play at matchy and you will go from having to win 52.38%, to only having to win 50% to win money..


If you could pick the right side more than half the time, you will retire.
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Old 06-19-08, 08:06 PM   #7
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Quote:
Originally Posted by rake922 View Post
just bet against the nationals
LOL... Seems like its the only charge that does not go up, looks around everything else is..
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Old 06-19-08, 10:12 PM   #8
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Quote:
Originally Posted by rake922 View Post
just bet against the nationals

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Old 06-19-08, 10:52 PM   #9
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nicky Santauro View Post
slicker, you dont have to win 52.38% if you play at matchy. most games that are -110 are +103, or +102, or +106, or even.. some at -101, or -102..


just play at matchy and you will go from having to win 52.38%, to only having to win 50% to win money..


If you could pick the right side more than half the time, you will retire.
you can say it every day and people still don't do it.......

I saved about 100 bucks today getting beneficial lines I wouldn't get elsewhere...


At matchbook I got under 8.5 in Dbacks game with a price of +115 ... The same bet was +100 at two other books.
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Old 06-19-08, 10:56 PM   #10
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That's because Rake is sharper than a razors edge?
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Old 06-19-08, 10:58 PM   #11
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rakey, last year, i made 14,000 dollars. i know it's not much... wasn't a great year. but i looked at my books last year and saw that i laid an avg of -101, and with the amount of games i bet, i saw that had i played into a 20 cent line, instead of winning 14,000, i would have lost 134,000...


i saved 150 dimes by playing at matchy. had i lost 150k, i would not be here right now posting..


that's true btw.. i am not making any of this up..


what is everyone waiting for here. (JJGOLD)
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Old 06-19-08, 11:01 PM   #12
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Line shopping obviously lowers the vig. Access to Matchbook and Pinnacle lowers the vig. The issue is the sharpness of the lines. I can offer -101 on both sides of a true 50-50 event. If the lines are sharp it is very difficult to make much money and pick a lot of winners.

Thank goodness the lines are soft enough to keep everyone who posts on this board in a life of leisure.
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Old 06-19-08, 11:18 PM   #13
rake922
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Wheell what books do you use
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Old 06-28-09, 12:13 PM   #14
durito
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nicky Santoro View Post
rakey, last year, i made 14,000 dollars. i know it's not much... wasn't a great year. but i looked at my books last year and saw that i laid an avg of -101, and with the amount of games i bet, i saw that had i played into a 20 cent line, instead of winning 14,000, i would have lost 134,000...


i saved 150 dimes by playing at matchy. had i lost 150k, i would not be here right now posting..


that's true btw.. i am not making any of this up..


what is everyone waiting for here. (JJGOLD)

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Old 06-28-09, 05:54 PM   #15
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nicky Santoro View Post
rakey, last year, i made 14,000 dollars. i know it's not much... wasn't a great year. but i looked at my books last year and saw that i laid an avg of -101, and with the amount of games i bet, i saw that had i played into a 20 cent line, instead of winning 14,000, i would have lost 134,000...


i saved 150 dimes by playing at matchy. had i lost 150k, i would not be here right now posting..


that's true btw.. i am not making any of this up..


what is everyone waiting for here. (JJGOLD)

WOW a 148k differential? unreal
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Old 06-28-09, 06:03 PM   #16
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im at 80%
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Old 06-28-09, 06:05 PM   #17
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
im at 80%
at -1000 odds maybe
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Old 06-28-09, 06:07 PM   #18
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no im serious durito i make wise wagers
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Old 06-28-09, 06:08 PM   #19
durito
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
no im serious durito i make wise wagers
Would you care to take Durito's challenge then?
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Old 06-28-09, 06:09 PM   #20
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Quote:
Originally Posted by durito View Post
Would you care to take Durito's challenge then?
what is it?
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Old 06-28-09, 06:11 PM   #21
durito
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I'll give you +400 odds you can't hit 80% or better over your next 50 or 100 wagers. You can lay up to -140. You can use any book on sbrlines.

I will take any amount you wish to wager on said bet.
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Old 06-28-09, 06:13 PM   #22
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Quote:
Originally Posted by durito View Post
I'll give you +400 odds you can't hit 80% or better over your next 50 or 100 wagers. You can lay up to -140. You can use any book on sbrlines.

I will take any amount you wish to wager on said bet.

i dont bet online i have a local
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Old 06-28-09, 06:15 PM   #23
durito
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What exactly does this have to do with my challenge?
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Old 06-28-09, 06:16 PM   #24
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i only bet nba and nfl remember durito so when the nfl season starts i will take you up cool
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Old 06-28-09, 06:23 PM   #25
durito
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even better lol

even nickay needs to see this
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Old 06-28-09, 06:24 PM   #26
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Quote:
Originally Posted by durito View Post
even better lol

even nickay needs to see this
laugh now but i will laugh last
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Old 06-28-09, 06:25 PM   #27
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lakerboy is special, I can feel it.
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Old 06-28-09, 06:27 PM   #28
durito
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No one wins Durito's challenges, except me of course. The odds are absurdly against you. This one, however, would be even greater than any before.

Even Robzilla only claimed he could hit 70%.

You do realize right, that if you can hit 54% combined with competent risk management, to borrow from RickySteve, you'll soon be shopping for yachts.
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Old 06-28-09, 06:29 PM   #29
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wow another 80%er
and another to go down in flames
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Old 06-28-09, 06:30 PM   #30
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Quote:
Originally Posted by durito View Post
No one wins Durito's challenges, except me of course. The odds are absurdly against you. This one, however, would be even greater than any before.

Even Robzilla only claimed he could hit 70%.

robzilla is a loser. my bookie hates me he only let me keep playing in the nba finals cause i got him more guys otherwise he was threatening to cut me off. i made over 67k in nba this playoffs alone- he called my run unprecedented- i went 12-3 in the finals alone
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Old 06-28-09, 06:32 PM   #31
durito
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http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/
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Old 06-28-09, 06:34 PM   #32
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its okay you dont have to believe me my family cant figure out why the business is doing so well in this recession either
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Old 06-28-09, 06:37 PM   #33
durito
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So, Let's make it a bet on the NFL season.

$100,000. Post up at matchbook.
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Old 06-28-09, 06:39 PM   #34
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no online- when the season starts i will start a thread and post my picks and when it ends we will see what my record is
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Old 06-28-09, 06:41 PM   #35
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Great, but I'm not betting unless you post up. Unless you want to do it for $100.
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