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Old 06-06-2008, 08:19 PM   #1
pavyracer
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Default Pavy's Euro 2008 picks

I'm starting with a $10000 bankroll.

Day 1:

Switzerland +0.5 -150 to win $100
Switzerland Draw + 200 to win $100
Portugal ML -140 to win $100
Portugal -1 +150 to win $150

Total Bet is $440

Balance: $9560
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Old 06-06-2008, 08:20 PM   #2
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GoodLuck
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Old 06-07-2008, 03:49 PM   #3
pavyracer
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
I'm starting with a $10000 bankroll.

Day 1:

Switzerland +0.5 -150 to win $100 LOSS
Switzerland Draw + 200 to win $100 LOSS
Portugal ML -140 to win $100WIN
Portugal -1 +150 to win $150 WIN

Total Bet is $440

Balance: $9560
New Balance: $10050 Net Gain: 0.5%

Last edited by pavyracer; 06-07-2008 at 08:41 PM..
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Old 06-07-2008, 08:36 PM   #4
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Day 2:

Croatia ML -110 to win $100
Germany ML -200 to win $200

At Risk: $510
Balance: $9540

Last edited by pavyracer; 06-07-2008 at 08:42 PM..
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Old 06-07-2008, 08:38 PM   #5
CrazyLou
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Croatia looks good, gl buddy.
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Old 06-08-2008, 03:39 PM   #6
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
Day 2:

Croatia ML -110 to win $100 WIN
Germany ML -200 to win $200 WIN

At Risk: $510
Balance: $9540
New Balance: $10350 Net Gain: 3.5%
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Old 06-08-2008, 03:41 PM   #7
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GL Pavy.
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Old 06-08-2008, 03:49 PM   #8
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Can I ask your opinion about the night game?
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Old 06-08-2008, 03:51 PM   #9
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gl pavy
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Old 06-08-2008, 03:53 PM   #10
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Weezy F. View Post
Can I ask your opinion about the night game?
Which one? Shoot your question.
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Old 06-08-2008, 03:55 PM   #11
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Nice work Pavy.
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Old 06-08-2008, 04:26 PM   #12
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My fault, I misread the schedule
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Old 06-08-2008, 06:46 PM   #13
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Day 3:

Romania +0.5 +110 to win $110
Romania ML +450 to win $105

At Risk: $130
Balance: $10220
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Old 06-08-2008, 06:54 PM   #14
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Romania played good in qualifications group, but they will hardly win tommorow. I know france didn't do great games lately, and they don't have zidane anymore, but they are still much better than romania. I think that you should be more optimistic about the draw then romania itself, if you dont like france here (and by the way, football in romania is one of the most corrupt leagues ever). Good luck tough!

Too me, france wins 1-0
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Old 06-08-2008, 07:02 PM   #15
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Greece beat France in Euro2004. Scotland beat France in qualifiers. France does not play well away from home and their coach Domenech is very conservative. Captain Viera is out for France (huge loss). Zidane has retired and Henry had a very subpar season with Barcelona.

Romania is pressing constanly at all areas of the field and is a fast team with lethal counter-attacks. Mutu is always a big threat to score and they lose very rarely away from home. I am only risking 20% of my money on Romania ML.
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Old 06-08-2008, 07:03 PM   #16
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Any thoughts on the Italy match Pavy?

I here Robben is questionable.
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Old 06-08-2008, 07:09 PM   #17
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I'm not betting this game. Both teams have many absences. Robben is out, Babbel and Van Persie are also out. Seedorf is not in the squad. On paper the Dutch are the weak team but they have a good goalie in Van den Saart. Their defense is not very good.

Italy is missing Cannavaro ans Panucci in defense and the coach is still experimenting with the line up. I can't get a read for this game with so many players missing.
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Old 06-09-2008, 12:58 PM   #18
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
Day 3:

Romania +0.5 +110 to win $110 WIN
Romania ML +450 to win $105 LOSS

At Risk: $130
Balance: $10220
New Balance: $10430 Net Gain: 4.3%
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Old 06-09-2008, 01:06 PM   #19
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Pavy,

It's refreshing to see someone using reasonable money management for their picks.

Keep up the good work (both on picks and risk!)
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Old 06-09-2008, 01:31 PM   #20
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Justin7 View Post
Pavy,

It's refreshing to see someone using reasonable money management for their picks.

Keep up the good work (both on picks and risk!)
Thanks Justin. Noone wins by chasing. I bet only the games I like.
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Old 06-09-2008, 03:42 PM   #21
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I'm liking the draw w/ Sweden-Greece and the win with Spain-Russia
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Old 06-09-2008, 03:48 PM   #22
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Day 4:

Spain ML -140 to win $100
Greece +0.5 -170 to win $100

At Risk: $310
Balance: $10120
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Old 06-09-2008, 03:53 PM   #23
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Pavyracer, isn't betting on Greece +.5 mean that you think that it will go to extra time?
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Old 06-09-2008, 04:03 PM   #24
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Quote:
Originally Posted by fifawcs View Post
Pavyracer, isn't betting on Greece +.5 mean that you think that it will go to extra time?
Nope, I'm betting on Greece not to lose. I cash with a draw or a Greece win. It's like betting 1/2 unit on draw and 1/2 unit on Greece win.
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Old 06-09-2008, 07:00 PM   #25
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I'll start with $1,000 today:
Spain -1/2 -151 (betphoenix) for $50
2P for $10
Spain -1/2 -151
Spain-Russia Ov 2 -115
Gl All
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Old 06-09-2008, 08:50 PM   #26
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Gluck pavy... I'll be checking on your thread to see how you do during the Euro Cup. Hopefully you'll make some bank.
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Old 06-10-2008, 03:37 PM   #27
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
Day 4:

Spain ML -140 to win $100 WIN
Greece +0.5 -170 to win $100 LOSS

At Risk: $310
Balance: $10120
New Balance: $10360 Net Gain: 3.6%
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Old 06-10-2008, 03:51 PM   #28
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
New Balance: $10360 Net Gain: 3.6%
Don't feel bad. Glenn Danzig lost on Greece, too. BTW, he's the biggest loser at EOG, so you may want to fade his picks.

PM #26 (permalink)
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Greece has never lost to Sweden in their 5 previous meetings.
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Old 06-10-2008, 03:57 PM   #29
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Quote:
Originally Posted by HedgeHog View Post
Don't feel bad. Glenn Danzig lost on Greece, too. BTW, he's the biggest loser at EOG, so you may want to fade his picks.

PM #26 (permalink)
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Greece has never lost to Sweden in their 5 previous meetings.
A DESPERATE boyfriend ripped his willy to bits when he tried to cure premature ejaculation by having sex with a HEDGEHOG.

Zoran Nikolovic ? dubbed Mr Jiggywinkle ? claimed to be following the advice of a witch doctor when he injured himself on the animal’s pricks.

The 35-year-old said he had not yet told his girlfriend about his spine romance and added: �God knows what she will think of me.

�I don’t know whether she’s more likely to dump me for being some kind of pervert or for being such an idiot.�

He explained: �I was so ashamed to go to a normal clinic to discuss sexual problems that I was ready to try anything. When the voodoo man suggested having sex with a hedgehog I walked out.

�But he guaranteed me total discretion and 100 per cent success so I decided to try it.�

A hospital spokesman in Belgrade, Serbia, said: �The animal was apparently unhurt. The patient came off much worse from the encounter.

�We have carried out similar operations before, but only on people who have been in accidents.

�No one here has ever come across anything like it, and I doubt any of us ever will again.�


A DOCTOR WRITES:

Sun Health’s Dr Keith Hopcroft says: �It’s not a treatment I’d recommend ? but it could cure premature ejaculation because he’ll probably never want sex again.
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Old 06-10-2008, 04:06 PM   #30
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
A DESPERATE boyfriend ripped his willy to bits when he tried to cure premature ejaculation by having sex with a HEDGEHOG.

Zoran Nikolovic ? dubbed Mr Jiggywinkle ? claimed to be following the advice of a witch doctor when he injured himself on the animal’s pricks.

The 35-year-old said he had not yet told his girlfriend about his spine romance and added: �God knows what she will think of me.

�I don’t know whether she’s more likely to dump me for being some kind of pervert or for being such an idiot.�

He explained: �I was so ashamed to go to a normal clinic to discuss sexual problems that I was ready to try anything. When the voodoo man suggested having sex with a hedgehog I walked out.

�But he guaranteed me total discretion and 100 per cent success so I decided to try it.�

A hospital spokesman in Belgrade, Serbia, said: �The animal was apparently unhurt. The patient came off much worse from the encounter.

�We have carried out similar operations before, but only on people who have been in accidents.

�No one here has ever come across anything like it, and I doubt any of us ever will again.�


A DOCTOR WRITES:

Sun Health’s Dr Keith Hopcroft says: �It’s not a treatment I’d recommend ? but it could cure premature ejaculation because he’ll probably never want sex again.
The moral of the story is to not screw with a hedgehog.
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Old 06-10-2008, 04:09 PM   #31
pavyracer
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Quote:
Originally Posted by HedgeHog View Post
The moral of the story is to not screw with a hedgehog.
The moral of the story is that a 30 year old Serb man raped you.
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Old 06-10-2008, 04:12 PM   #32
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Do you even understand the meaning of moral. It's a lesson learned, idiot. Sounds to me like the Serb got screwed.
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Old 06-10-2008, 07:11 PM   #33
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Czech Republic +1 -168 for $75
2TP
Czech Republic +1 -168
Czech Republic O 2 +105
$10

Last edited by PalmerInc; 06-10-2008 at 07:18 PM.. Reason: ?
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Old 06-10-2008, 07:27 PM   #34
pavyracer
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Day 5:

Portugal ML -125 to win $1000
Portugal over 2 +100 to win $500
Switzerland over 2 +100 to win $500

At Risk: $2250
Balance: $8110
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Old 06-10-2008, 09:20 PM   #35
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Gl Pavy!
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