You don't know Shit about gambling unless you've been doing it for at least 5 years..
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Yes: At least 5 years maybe even more
No: new people can adapt quickly
More than 10 years is needed before you know what you are doing.
You don't know Shit about gambling unless you've been doing it for at least 5 years..
SBR Founder Join Date: 11/16/2005
Depends on your definition of "knowing shit "
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The only players which would disagree are those that started out running hot.
It takes a while before you learn what is a sucker bet, beyond just what you read, I mean situationally, there are bets you make starting out you think are good that you only realize later are not profitable decisions..
SBR Founder Join Date: 11/16/2005
The funniest post I read was this week. A poster had a write -up on a game and predicted the final score 4-3. His best bet that night was that team on the RL .
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05/28/2012
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19th Place 11/1/2011
SBR Founder Join Date: 11/16/2005
SBR Founder Join Date: 11/16/2005
You should have seen my system on the dogs I had one summer, I had more money than any kid in college that year. Too bad the system failed later on.
10 years ago I had craps figured out, had 15 straight winning trips between 1k to 12 k each trip. Funny how that faded away too.
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Chandler, I have been doing it for 32 years, I have experienced it all and there is nothing in any books I have not learned from 1st hand experience.
I have written down all the do's and dont's to gambling.
If I follow my list I will always turn a profit, when I don't follow it I will always lose.
The handicapping and learning odds is the easy part, self control is the killer.
The real pros have self control. They may go days without a bet. Learn the self control and you can win long term.
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Nothing that says a new guy can't come in and win.
But the guys that have survived 5+ years, have proven the test of time. Either they know how to pick their spots, or they've got a sugar mama.
Just remember that once the grease is taken, there are 20 losers for every winner over the long run. Those are pretty poor odds.
Last edited by slacker00; 05-05-08 at 05:24 AM.
SBR Founder Join Date: 10/6/2005
It takes about 7 years yo get a grasp on it and of course you need to get barreled in 1st a few times and bottom out.
SBR Founder Join Date: 7/20/2005
I'll just point out that this is not necessarily logically inconsistent.
It's entirely possible for the Fave -1½ RL to still be a good bet even while the single most likely score might be Fave 4 - Dog 3. Ultimately, it's a function of the RL odds offered.
For example, given a total of 9 and a ML of Road +120/Home -140, my models have the single most likely outcome at Home 4 - Road 3 (just barely edging out Home 5 - Road 4), but yet I'd jump on a RL of Fave -1½ +170 in a heartbeat.
SBR Founder Join Date: 8/28/2005