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Old 04-18-2008, 11:14 PM   #1 (permalink)
Illusion
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Default UFC 83: Serra +400???

Call me crazy boys, but I think Serra +400 has some great value.

UFC 83: Serra vs St. Pierre

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Old 04-18-2008, 11:21 PM   #2 (permalink)
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I'm playing Hopkins Boxing tomorrow night +180
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Old 04-18-2008, 11:24 PM   #3 (permalink)
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y is he such a big dog ....... illusion ? and at what book
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Old 04-18-2008, 11:58 PM   #4 (permalink)
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He's a dog because St Pierre is that good... Serra will go down...watch.
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Old 04-19-2008, 12:11 AM   #5 (permalink)
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scratch that a bunny said Serra will lose
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Old 04-19-2008, 12:16 AM   #6 (permalink)
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what r these guys records j ...........
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Old 04-19-2008, 12:17 AM   #7 (permalink)
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if your a value bettor, this does have it...but st. pierre is a beast and has about about 80% chance of winning this fight
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Old 04-19-2008, 12:20 AM   #8 (permalink)
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does hopkins have a shot at his return ............
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Old 04-19-2008, 02:14 AM   #9 (permalink)
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what r these guys records
Serra is 16-4-0 and St-Pierre is 15-2-0
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Old 04-19-2008, 02:16 AM   #10 (permalink)
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y is he such a big dog ....... illusion ? and at what book
I'm not quite sure why he's that big of a dog, but I do like the value. I got that line at The Greek.
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Old 04-19-2008, 02:24 AM   #11 (permalink)
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Value doesn't mean if you don't win.
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Old 04-19-2008, 02:48 AM   #12 (permalink)
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Those are strange odds considering Serra already beat him once. I'd bet it if I weren't already placing my funds on boxing this weekend. I think Serra will beat him again.
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Old 04-19-2008, 09:15 AM   #13 (permalink)
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GSP has the home town advantage, the fight is in Montreal. Serra is from Long Island.

Also, GSP is an absolute beast at the peak of his career.

Still, +400 is good value on the dog. Serra is a tough nut and could pull an upset again. Serra is the #2 ranked welterweight in the world. (GSP is #1). I'm playing it to win 1 unit.


What do you guys think if this one goes to a decision? Does GSP get the home town advantage? Does Serra get the title-holder prejudice? I think GSP gets a big edge from the judges, possibly, if the fight goes to a decision.
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Old 04-19-2008, 09:34 AM   #14 (permalink)
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Quote:
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What do you guys think if this one goes to a decision? Does GSP get the home town advantage? Does Serra get the title-holder prejudice? I think GSP gets a big edge from the judges, possibly, if the fight goes to a decision.
I agree GSP would have an edge with the judges being that it is his home town(Bisping vs Hamil anyone?) . Also not that I am saying the UFC influences judges but I'm sure they would like to see GSP win since he is a much more marketable champion. With that being said this fight does not go the distance.
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Old 04-19-2008, 11:10 AM   #15 (permalink)
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imo numbers and stats dont mean jack in ufc!

gsp ftw!

but if ur a value bettor u may wanna put $5 to win $20 on serra.
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Old 04-19-2008, 11:55 AM   #16 (permalink)
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I saw the 16-4 record too somewhere as well... but I have no idea where it's from. He's actually 9-4.

http://www.sherdog.com/fightfinder/f...FighterID=1305

Some other things to consider is that GSP is taking this fight much more seriously than last time. He actually said if he had been scheduled to fight Hughes he would have pulled out of the fight because of what was going on in his life. Also Serra's coming off a herniated disk in his back from a few months ago, that's a serious injury to come back from so soon. Another thing is GSP is a vastly superior fighter... there's a reason why he was favored 10-1 last fight. In my opinion Serra won that fight the only possible way he could have... which was to connect with a haymaker.

I say either bet GSP or pass. I guess you could put a few bucks on serra for some action but don't be too hopeful

Edit... looked into it and Serra's record is actually 16-4

Last edited by barkus : 04-19-2008 at 05:32 PM.
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Old 04-19-2008, 02:05 PM   #17 (permalink)