Those are strange odds considering Serra already beat him once. I'd bet it if I weren't already placing my funds on boxing this weekend. I think Serra will beat him again.
GSP has the home town advantage, the fight is in Montreal. Serra is from Long Island.
Also, GSP is an absolute beast at the peak of his career.
Still, +400 is good value on the dog. Serra is a tough nut and could pull an upset again. Serra is the #2 ranked welterweight in the world. (GSP is #1). I'm playing it to win 1 unit.
What do you guys think if this one goes to a decision? Does GSP get the home town advantage? Does Serra get the title-holder prejudice? I think GSP gets a big edge from the judges, possibly, if the fight goes to a decision.
What do you guys think if this one goes to a decision? Does GSP get the home town advantage? Does Serra get the title-holder prejudice? I think GSP gets a big edge from the judges, possibly, if the fight goes to a decision.
I agree GSP would have an edge with the judges being that it is his home town(Bisping vs Hamil anyone?) . Also not that I am saying the UFC influences judges but I'm sure they would like to see GSP win since he is a much more marketable champion. With that being said this fight does not go the distance.
Some other things to consider is that GSP is taking this fight much more seriously than last time. He actually said if he had been scheduled to fight Hughes he would have pulled out of the fight because of what was going on in his life. Also Serra's coming off a herniated disk in his back from a few months ago, that's a serious injury to come back from so soon. Another thing is GSP is a vastly superior fighter... there's a reason why he was favored 10-1 last fight. In my opinion Serra won that fight the only possible way he could have... which was to connect with a haymaker.
I say either bet GSP or pass. I guess you could put a few bucks on serra for some action but don't be too hopeful
Edit... looked into it and Serra's record is actually 16-4