 |
 |
 |
 |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
 |
 |
 |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
 |
 |
 |
 |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
 |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|||||||
|
|
|
Thread Tools | Display Modes |
.gif "Poker(1)")
).
04-11-2008, 12:28 PM
|
#6 (permalink) |
|
SBR MVP
Join Date: 08-14-07
Location: louisville
Posts: 3,304
|
something seems fishy about that game to me, Orlando only favored 2.5 over the
 ty Rampage, i know the Predators lost alot of good vets on D from free agency and they have like 9-10 rookies, but the D has come around, Gruden has always preached D with his team, and they switched Allison from DB to Jack LB and Moye-Moore is now the Mac LB. the Rampage might of looked good putting up 92 and 84 points against K.C. and L.A., but against teams that can play D , they only scored 35 against the Rush and 34 against the Dragons, and of course got blown out in those games. i ain't touching this game.you can listen to that game if it ain't on TV in your area at...... 540wfla i'm on the Blaze cause they got Joe Germaine as QB thats all i need, and i was high on the Voodoo from the beginning and still am, and i like the Crush, i'm not sold on the new look Gladiators since they moved from Vegas to Cleveland. Crush +3 VooDoo +6.5 Blaze +2 |
|
|
04-11-2008, 01:43 PM
|
#8 (permalink) |
|
Moderator
Join Date: 07-31-06
Posts: 1,786
|
My best bets of the week is Orlando-2.5 over Grand Rapids.
Grand Rapids has been the Dr. Jekyll & Mr. Hide team, at least looking at scoreboards. In back to back weeks, they put up 83 and 84 teams under new QB McPherson before crashing into New York. But look closer at those two high scoring games... They were +5 on turnovers against a KC QB no longer there, and +4 in turnovers against LAA, including 3 fumbles for 28 defensive points. One way to gauge a team's strength of schedule (SOS) rating is to take its opponents' combined records, after removing games with that team (so teams that blow out opponents don't look weaker due to an "easier schedule" for all teams losing 1 game to them). Orlando has an adjusted SOS rating of 0.6 (18-12) verus 0.33 for Grand Rapids (8-16). Despite facing a schedule nearly twice as difficult, Orlando is 4-2, versus GRR's 2-4 record. Grand Rapids' new QB MacPherson (not to be confused with McPherson) threw 4 picks last week against an average NY defense. His overall passer rating is now about 95, versus 113 for Orlando. 95 doesn't cut it in Arena. Every angle I have on this game makes Orlando a large favorite - I make it 8.5. This is my best bet this week, and I'd take Orlando at up to -3.5. |
|
|
|
04-11-2008, 01:50 PM
|
#10 (permalink) | ||
|
SBR MVP
Join Date: 04-18-07
Posts: 2,817
|
I on with ya Justin, lets cash
__________________
Posted Picks: 85-44-1 - 65.89% Winners NBA Playoffs: 27-16 - 62.7% NCAA Football: 0-1-1 NFL: 1-0 Follow my plays this season on MYSBR! (will post in forum also) http://iwinyourmoney.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/ Quote:
Quote:
|
||
|
|
|
04-11-2008, 02:16 PM
|
#14 (permalink) | |
|
SBR MVP
Join Date: 09-11-07
Posts: 2,598
|
Quote:
 Actually it's a great question as I have a few places that I can by on/off the 3 for 10 cents. Is it worth it? |
|
|
|
|
04-11-2008, 02:26 PM
|
#16 (permalink) | |
|
Moderator
Join Date: 07-31-06
Posts: 1,786
|
Quote:
If you can buy 2 half-points for 20 cents to cross a 3 or 7, you should always buy both. In this case, I'd rather bet Orlando early, and get it at -2.5 for -110, instead of -130  |
|
|
|