1. #1
    brahmabull117
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    My NFL Plays For 11/20/11

    6-1 my last 7 NFL plays, let's see if we can get the clean sweep here this week...




    Chicago - 4. Looks like the books are underrating the bears again like they did for the majority of last year. Bears defense will dominate this game



    New York Giants - 5.5. Eagles continue to be ridiculously overrated by Vegas. This would be a 10 point line with any other team in the league with a similar record to Philly



    13 point teaser

    New England
    Green Bay
    Chicago
    New York


    6.5 point teaser
    Jacksonville
    Detroit

  2. #2
    neverstoppers23
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    Good luck sir. I have not really looked at any NFL games, after my great Saturday. I still have not even made my picks for beat the prick.

    The only pick I love is -1 Oak. Been a big Oak backer all year.

    The philly game does scare me, because Reid can coach. He is one of the most under-rated coaches in the league, and I really don't understand all this hate for the guy. So he can coach up Young, and he can have a great game. They still have McCoy and Deshawun Jackson, and their defense is healthy so you never know if they are going to break out.

    They may want to prove something that they aint dead and won't give up. Seems like the perfect trap game for gamblers.
    Points Awarded:

    lakerboy gave neverstoppers23 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  3. #3
    gauchojake
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    i won't be playing the nyg/phi game but here is my mindset on games like this... no maclin, no vick...all signs point giants...take the eagles.
    Points Awarded:

    lakerboy gave gauchojake 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  4. #4
    brahmabull117
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    Quote Originally Posted by gauchojake View Post
    i won't be playing the nyg/phi game but here is my mindset on games like this... no maclin, no vick...all signs point giants...take the eagles.

    I don't buy it


    maybe if the eagles were getting 10+ points in this game - like any other 3-6 team starting their backup qb would be getting...

  5. #5
    t-wizzle
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    Thought you were done posting in PT?

  6. #6
    lakerboy
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    bears are 3.5 everywhere but you take -4

  7. #7
    brahmabull117
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    bears are 3.5 everywhere but you take -4

    I locked that line in early in the week cause I thought it would go way up



    I can't believe people still believe in phillip rivers

  8. #8
    gauchojake
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    Quote Originally Posted by brahmabull117 View Post
    I don't buy it


    maybe if the eagles were getting 10+ points in this game - like any other 3-6 team starting their backup qb would be getting...

    The Eagles would never get 10 points in any NFL game. 10 point spreads are reserved for the shittiest of shitty teams and even they cover.

  9. #9
    brahmabull117
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    Quote Originally Posted by gauchojake View Post
    The Eagles would never get 10 points in any NFL game. 10 point spreads are reserved for the shittiest of shitty teams and even they cover.

    the eagles just lost to Arizona at home dude


    they are one of the worst teams in the league - if not THEE worst


    People need to stop looking at the name on the back of their jerseys and look at how they're playing - mediocre QB play, mediocre OL play, can't stop the run, can't stop the pass. This is one of the worst teams in the league right now with all things being considered

  10. #10
    t-wizzle
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    Quote Originally Posted by brahmabull117 View Post


    the eagles just lost to Arizona at home dude


    they are one of the worst teams in the league - if not THEE worst


    People need to stop looking at the name on the back of their jerseys and look at how they're playing - mediocre QB play, mediocre OL play, can't stop the run, can't stop the pass. This is one of the worst teams in the league right now with all things being considered
    Why is the line only 5.5?

  11. #11
    brahmabull117
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    Quote Originally Posted by t-wizzle View Post
    Why is the line only 5.5?
    Cause Vegas inexplicably has a hardon for Philly - it's the same thing as minnesota last year (who kept getting way too much love from Vegas on reputation alone and ended up finishing 6-10 ATS)



    why are the eagles 3-6 ATS so far this year?? same answer

  12. #12
    zsr
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    For once i agree. The eagles are beyond atrocious at this point, vince young probably gives them a better chance to win because they'll run the ball, but vegas and this forum continue to overvalue the shit out of the eagles. I guess there 3-6 start and losing outright to the cardinals didnt prove enough.

  13. #13
    zsr
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    Quote Originally Posted by t-wizzle View Post
    Why is the line only 5.5?
    Same reason Kansas state was plus 8 to texas. Vegas overvalues and undervalues teams all year, people thing vegas always gets it right and a bad line means trap, thats not the case.

  14. #14
    brahmabull117
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    Quote Originally Posted by zsr View Post
    Same reason Kansas state was plus 8 to texas. Vegas overvalues and undervalues teams all year, people thing vegas always gets it right and a bad line means trap, thats not the case.

    hey bro didn't you know Vegas is a 100% efficient market???


    they know every game, every sport, every team to a 100% tee and they NEVER make any mistakes

  15. #15
    Sunde91
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    Chicago is one of the easiest fades of the year

    brahmbitch go post in your thread where your official record is 1-3 -7.2 units

  16. #16
    brahmabull117
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sunde91 View Post
    Chicago is one of the easiest fades of the year


    Look at all these clowns who continue to doubt the bears


    a 24 point thrashing of Detroit wasn't enough?? hell you realize they have won 3 of their 5 home games this year by 17+ points???

  17. #17
    gauchojake
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    Quote Originally Posted by brahmabull117 View Post
    the eagles just lost to Arizona at home dude


    they are one of the worst teams in the league - if not THEE worst


    People need to stop looking at the name on the back of their jerseys and look at how they're playing - mediocre QB play, mediocre OL play, can't stop the run, can't stop the pass. This is one of the worst teams in the league right now with all things being considered

    I don't disagree that they are a bad team. I see a line like that with a ton of injuries and I ask why. Why wouldn't the line be 9.5 or 7.5 ... something where I could get a real read on the mindset of the bookmaker? That's the problem with this game. When I see a game that looks easy like that, I typically bet against what common sense would stipulate.

  18. #18
    warriorfan707
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    Thinking Bears too

  19. #19
    brahmabull117
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    Quote Originally Posted by gauchojake View Post
    I don't disagree that they are a bad team. I see a line like that with a ton of injuries and I ask why. Why wouldn't the line be 9.5 or 7.5 ... something where I could get a real read on the mindset of the bookmaker? That's the problem with this game. When I see a game that looks easy like that, I typically bet against what common sense would stipulate.

    there's nothing hard to read about this game. You got a team that is supposed to be a powerhouse NFL contender and they keep getting extremely inflated lines because the bookies have them so high in their power rankings


    The dallas cowboys and minnesota vikings went 12-20 ATS last year for that same reason



    People need to stop thinking that Vegas is right about everything and any badline is a "trap"

  20. #20
    moses millsap
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    Quote Originally Posted by brahmabull117 View Post
    I locked that line in early in the week cause I thought it would go way up



    I can't believe people still believe in phillip rivers
    Like your honesty. Good luck on the plays.

  21. #21
    NYSportsGuy210
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    Bears (-3.5) is a good play as well as Bills +2.

  22. #22
    gauchojake
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    Quote Originally Posted by brahmabull117 View Post
    there's nothing hard to read about this game. You got a team that is supposed to be a powerhouse NFL contender and they keep getting extremely inflated lines because the bookies have them so high in their power rankings


    The dallas cowboys and minnesota vikings went 12-20 ATS last year for that same reason



    People need to stop thinking that Vegas is right about everything and any badline is a "trap"
    Look- The reason I am not touching the game is the same reason you are all over the game. It seems easy.

  23. #23
    brahmabull117
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    Quote Originally Posted by gauchojake View Post
    Look- The reason I am not touching the game is the same reason you are all over the game. It seems easy.
    Well at least you're not actually playing the eagles


    Anybody backing philly at this point of the season deserves to go broke

  24. #24
    the_situation
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    public layin pts with Eagles every week
    now as a dog, everyone on Giants
    Eagles gonna fukk everyone again and win SU
    your teaser is toast, Det and Jax are both losing
    SD has a decent shot to win also

    your "6-1" streak is comin to an end

  25. #25
    gryfyn1
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    Quote Originally Posted by gauchojake View Post
    i won't be playing the nyg/phi game but here is my mindset on games like this... no maclin, no vick...all signs point giants...take the eagles.
    with no Vick or macllin, reid may finally run the correct offense for this team and give the ball to the best player on the team 30 times .

  26. #26
    crustyme
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    chargers just became a big play for me.

    thanx kerry!

  27. #27
    brahmabull117
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    Quote Originally Posted by the_situation View Post
    public layin pts with Eagles every week
    now as a dog, everyone on Giants
    Eagles gonna fukk everyone again and win SU
    your teaser is toast, Det and Jax are both losing
    SD has a decent shot to win also

    your "6-1" streak is comin to an end


    And this is all why?? Because you said so??


    and the jags can lose and still cover my teaser - you realize they're 1 point dogs in the matchup right??

  28. #28
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by gryfyn1 View Post
    with no Vick or macllin, reid may finally run the correct offense for this team and give the ball to the best player on the team 30 times .
    Once again, gryfyn is the voice of reason.

  29. #29
    brahmabull117
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Once again, gryfyn is the voice of reason.

    Do me a favor and look up Lasean Mccoy's numbers when Vick is not in the lineup



    dude is a career 4 YPC player (basically average). Half his game is run plays where there is a 6 foot hole up the middle because all the DEs are rushing up the field to get after Vick as soon as possible. Furthermore, you really think the Giants will allow Philly to win by just pounding the rock every play?? Not a chance



    Unless the giants self - destruct here, they will win comfortably. Their defensive scheme with their dominant front four is designed to stop teams like the eagles and Eli should have no problem going up and down on Philly's defense either

  30. #30
    brahmabull117
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    1-0 start to the day with the first leg of the 4 teamer covering as well

  31. #31
    brahmabull117
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    2-0, first 2 legs of the 4 teamer covered as well

  32. #32
    dontbuythehook
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    Thank god for this thread. 2k on PHI tonight

  33. #33
    ShogunRua
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    Nice start to the day brah...you needed a good day to get back some of what you lost in college this week

  34. #34
    falconticket
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    I took philly since Vick is not able to fuk this one up

  35. #35
    brahmabull117
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    Quote Originally Posted by ShogunRua View Post
    Nice start to the day brah...you needed a good day to get back some of what you lost in college this week
    I didn't lose anything dumb fukk, I went 3-1 yesterday



    you really think I would do 1 unit each play after being down 7 units for the week??? I did between 3-4 units for each and pretty much evened out for the week

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